St. Thomas Tommies vs Northern Colorado Bears Prediction, 11/21/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Thomas Tommies vs Northern Colorado Bears

Date: Friday, November 21, 2025

Location: Chiles Center in Portland, OR

TV: ESPN+

The St. Thomas Tommies (3-2) are headed to Chiles Center on Friday where they will try to beat the Northern Colorado Bears (3-0).

The St. Thomas Tommies played SE Missouri State and earned the victory with a final of 84-72 in their last game. St. Thomas ended having earned a 58.7% field goal percentage (27 of 46) and made 8 of their 18 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Tommies made 22 of their 26 tries for a percentage of 84.6%. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 29 with 1 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 12 assists in this game while forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In terms of defending, St. Thomas allowed the other team to shoot 44.8% from the field on 30 out of 67 shooting. SE Missouri State recorded 11 dimes and had 6 steals in this game. Furthermore, SE Missouri State collected 27 boards (6 offensive, 21 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. SE Missouri State went 58.3% from the free throw line by making 7 of their 12 attempts. They also buried 5 of 18 tries from 3-point land. Regarding personal fouls, the Tommies left the arena with 15 while SE Missouri State had 21 personal fouls.

Nolan Minessale is a player who came through in this matchup. He ended up with 24 points on 7 of 12 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 36 mins played and grabbed 6 boards. He finished 58.3% from the field and also recorded 4 dimes.

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St. Thomas will enter this game with a mark of 3-2 on the year. They turn it over 10.2 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 15.2 personal fouls every game. As a team, St. Thomas is pulling in 27.4 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 77 assists this season, which is 119th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Tommies are hitting 31.7% on shots from 3-point land (39 of 123) and 74.7% from the free throw line. They are averaging 75.2 points per contest (246th in D-1) while going 50.0% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Tommies are forcing their opponents into 13.0 turnovers every game while drawing 18.2 personal fouls. They surrender 33.9% on three-point shots and they are ranked 221st in college hoops in opponents points per game (74.8). The Tommies are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 46.6% (138 of 296) and they relinquish 35.2 boards per contest as a unit. They currently rank 272nd in D-1 in giving up assists with 72 conceded for the year.

The last time they took the court, the Northern Colorado Bears walked away with a victory by a final of 88-81 when they faced Pepperdine. The Bears snagged 32 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards for a total of 42 in this game. They also gave up possession of the ball 20 times, while earning 4 steals for this contest. Pepperdine had 20 personal fouls for the contest which took the Bears to the free throw line for a total of 25 attempts. They were able to knock down 19 of the free throws for a percentage of 76.0%. With respect to shots from beyond the perimeter, Northern Colorado converted 9 out of 26 tries (34.6%). When the final whistle blew, the Bears finished the game shooting 30 out of 62 from the field which gave them a percentage of 48.4%. The Bears allowed Pepperdine to knock down 28 out of their 73 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.4% for this contest. They finished the game shooting 21.7% from distance by shooting 5 of 23 and ended up going 20 of 30 at the charity stripe (66.7%). Regarding rebounding, Northern Colorado permitted Pepperdine to snag 31 overall (12 on the offensive side).

Quinn Denker ended up having an impact for the Bears in this contest. He made 8 out of 15 in the matchup for a field goal rate of 53.3%, and had 8 rebounds. He accumulated 26 points in his 41 mins on the hardwood and earned 5 assists in the matchup.

Northern Colorado has a win-loss mark of 3-0 on the season. As an offense, the Bears are connecting on 51.3% from the floor, which is 32nd in college. Northern Colorado has accounted for 280 points on the year (93.3 per contest) and they pull in 45.0 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 21.0 times per game (14th in the nation) and they turn the ball over 13.7 times per contest. The Bears have committed 15.7 personal fouls every game and they hit 75.4% from the charity stripe.

The Bears on the defensive end are ranked 93rd in college hoops in PPG given up with 67.7. They are forcing their opponents into 13.3 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 41.6% from the floor (141st in the country). The Northern Colorado defense gives up 26.2% on shots from beyond the arc (16 of 61) and opponents are knocking down 63.5% of their foul shots. They relinquish 7.7 assists and 27.7 total boards per game, which is 4th and 11th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Northern Colorado

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