Tarleton State Texans vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction, 12/1/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tarleton State Texans vs Cincinnati Bearcats

Date: Monday, December 1, 2025

Location: Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, OH

TV: ESPN+

The Tarleton State Texans (4-3) are en route to Fifth Third Arena on Monday where they will try to defeat the Cincinnati Bearcats (5-2).

The Tarleton State Texans faced off with Rice and walked away with a win by a score of 90-74 in their last contest. Regarding personal fouls, the Texans walked away with 19 and Rice recorded 22 personal fouls. They knocked down 11 of their 30 tries from distance. Rice finished the contest at 45.8% from the charity stripe by burying 11 of their 24 shots. Furthermore, Rice snagged 32 rebounds (13 offensive, 19 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Rice earned 16 assists and had 6 steals in the game. With respect to defending, Tarleton State allowed the other team to go 41.3% from the field on 26 of 63 shooting. They also distributed 15 dimes for the contest as well as forcing 14 turnovers and having 11 steals. In regard to rebounding, they earned 31 with 6 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Texans buried 19 of their 25 shots for a percentage of 76.0%. Tarleton State ended having earned a 58.6% field goal percentage (34 out of 58) and made 3 out of their 9 shots from downtown.

Dior Johnson is someone who had an impact for this game. He finished the game shooting 52.9% from the floor and dished out 6 dimes. He was on the court for 35 mins played and collected 5 boards. He notched 29 points on 9 of 17 shooting.

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Tarleton State steps onto the court with a win-loss record of 4-3 so far this year. They are averaging 77.9 points per game (189th in Division 1) while hitting 46.2% from the floor. The Texans are connecting on 33.0% on shots beyond the perimeter (32 of 97) and 79.5% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Tarleton State is pulling in 34.3 boards per game and has earned 81 assists on the season, which is 307th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 15.0 times per game and as a team they are committing 21.6 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

Defensively, the Texans have forced 15.4 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 21.9 personal fouls. They rank 267th in college hoops in giving up assists with 103 conceded for the year. The Texans are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.5% (180 of 387) and they surrender 32.1 rebounds per contest as a team. They surrender 34.6% on 3-pointers while they are 277th in college hoops in PPG allowed (79.0).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Cincinnati Bearcats walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 64-56 when they faced Eastern Michigan. The Bearcats corralled 20 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards totaling 26 in the matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while recording 9 steals in this contest. Eastern Michigan earned 15 personal fouls for the contest which got the Bearcats to the free throw line for a total of 14 tries. They were able to convert 11 of them for a percentage of 78.6%. When discussing shots from 3-point land, Cincinnati converted 7 of their 29 attempts (24.1%). When the game finished, the Bearcats ended up shooting 19 for 56 from the floor which had them shooting 33.9%. The Bearcats permitted Eastern Michigan to knock down 19 of their 44 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 43.2% in this matchup. They finished 33.3% from 3-point land by connecting on 7 out of 21 and walked away from this one shooting 19 out of 22 from the charity stripe (86.4%). In regard to attacking the glass, Cincinnati permitted Eastern Michigan to collect 34 in total (7 offensive).

Day Day Thomas was important for the Bearcats in this matchup. He scored 17 points in his 36 minutes on the hardwood and had 2 dimes in the matchup. He made 5 out of 13 in the game giving him a rate of 38.5%, and had 5 rebounds.

Cincinnati has a record of 5-2 this year. When it comes to offense, the Bearcats are shooting 42.7% from the field, which is 286th in the country. Cincinnati has accounted for 528 points this season (75.4 per game) and they average 38.6 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 17.4 times per game (56th in the nation) and they are turning it over 14.1 times per contest. The Bearcats are responsible for committing 17.7 fouls per contest and they connect on 64.9% from the charity stripe.

The Bearcats defensively are ranked 33rd in college hoops in PPG allowed with 64.1. They are able to force 17.3 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 36.7% from the floor (17th in college). The Cincinnati defense gives up 30.0% on 3-pointers (54 of 180) and their opponents are making 75.4% of their foul shots. They have allowed 12.1 assists and 36.9 boards every game, which is 116th and 259th in those categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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