Tarleton State Texans vs UT Arlington Mavericks Prediction, 12/29/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tarleton State Texans vs UT Arlington Mavericks

Date: Monday, December 29, 2025

Location: College Park Center in Arlington, TX

TV: ESPN+

The Tarleton State Texans (9-4) are traveling to College Park Center on Monday where they will attempt to defeat the UT Arlington Mavericks (8-4).

The Tarleton State Texans played Florida A&M and went home with a win by a final score of 78-54 in their last contest. When talking about fouls, the Texans ended up walking away with 20 while Florida A&M recorded 21 fouls. They also converted 5 of their 22 attempts from distance. Florida A&M ended up shooting 62.5% when shooting free throws by knocking down 15 of 24 attempts. On top of that, Florida A&M had 28 rebounds (6 offensive, 22 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Florida A&M totaled 7 dimes and had 13 steals in this contest. In the matter of defense, Tarleton State allowed the other team to go 32.7% from the floor on 17 of 52 shooting. They also recorded 13 assists in this game as well as forcing the opposition into 22 turnovers and getting 13 steals. With regard to pulling down rebounds, they collected a total of 37 with 9 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Texans converted 17 of their 23 attempts for a percentage of 73.9%. Tarleton State wrapped up the game having earned a 47.5% field goal percentage (28 out of 59) and knocked down 5 out of their 10 three-point shots.

Leroy Kelly IV is someone who was a major contributor in the game. He went 66.7% from the floor but finished the game without an assist. He saw the court for 36 mins played and collected 8 boards. He accumulated 18 points on 6 out of 9 shooting.

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Tarleton State heads into this game with a win-loss mark of 9-4 so far this season. They turn the ball over 15.6 times per contest and as a team they commit 19.2 fouls per contest. As a unit, Tarleton State is pulling down 35.7 boards per contest and is sitting with 174 dimes so far this year, which is 232nd in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. The Texans are connecting on 34.9% on shots from downtown (73 of 209) and 77.2% from the free throw line. They average 80.6 pts per contest (116th in D-1) on 47.6% from the field.

Defensively, the Texans have forced 19.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.5 personal fouls. They currently rank 183rd in college hoops in allowing assists with 168 surrendered so far this season. The Texans defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 43.5% (306 of 704) and they concede 32.0 boards per game as a squad. They are surrendering 33.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 127th in college hoops in points per game allowed (70.8).

The last time they took the court, the UT Arlington Mavericks walked away with a victory by a final of 69-57 when they played Oral Roberts. Concerning cleaning up the glass, UT Arlington permitted Oral Roberts to grab 29 overall (9 offensive). They shot 10.0% from three-point range by connecting on 2 of 20 and finished the contest at 21 out of 25 from the free throw line (84.0%). The Mavericks allowed Oral Roberts to convert 17 out of 55 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 30.9% for this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Mavericks finished shooting 24 out of 51 from the field which had them shooting 47.1%. Concerning shots from beyond the perimeter, UT Arlington knocked down 8 out of 18 attempts (44.4%). They were able to bury 13 of those for a rate of 65.0%. Oral Roberts had 16 fouls in the game which got the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 20 attempts. They also turned it over 14 times, while earning 11 steals in this contest. The Mavericks earned 25 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards totaling 32 in this contest.

Marcell McCreary was important for the Mavericks for this game. He racked up 16 points in his 32 mins on the court and had 1 assist for this game. He made 6 of 11 for the game for a rate of 54.5%, and had 3 rebounds.

UT Arlington has a win-loss mark of 8-4 on the year. The Mavericks are responsible for committing 18.8 personal fouls every game and they connect on 68.1% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 13.8 times per game (236th in the nation) and they turn it over 14.8 times per game. UT Arlington has scored 872 points on the campaign (72.7 per contest) and they collect 38.6 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Mavericks are shooting 46.4% from the field, which is ranked 149th in college.

The UT Arlington defense concedes 24.1% on shots from distance (49 of 203) and their opposition knocks down 72.9% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 10.8 dimes and 30.3 rebounds per game, which is 35th and 24th in the country. The Mavericks on the defensive side of the court are 19th in college in PPG given up with 64.3. They are able to force 14.1 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 39.7% from the field (45th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tarleton State

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