TCU Horned Frogs vs Florida Gators Prediction, 11/27/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: TCU Horned Frogs vs Florida Gators

Date: Thursday, November 27, 2025

Location: Jenny Craig Pavilion in San Diego, CA

TV: FS1

The TCU Horned Frogs (3-2) are traveling to Jenny Craig Pavilion on Thursday where they will go up against the Florida Gators (4-1).

The TCU Horned Frogs played UMKC and earned the victory with a final of 81-45 in their last contest. Concerning fouls, the Horned Frogs finished with 18 and UMKC had 15 fouls. They made 7 of their 32 attempts from distance. UMKC finished the game at 63.2% when shooting free throws by burying 12 of 19 attempts. Additionally, UMKC snagged 28 rebounds (8 offensive, 20 defensive), but didn't notch a block. UMKC earned 10 assists and had 7 steals in this matchup. When discussing defense, TCU allowed the other team to shoot 23.2% from the floor on 13 of 56 shooting. They also dished out 21 assists for this game as well as forcing the opposition into 18 turnovers and getting 12 steals. With respect to grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 44 with 14 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Horned Frogs converted 13 of 15 tries for a rate of 86.7%. TCU finished with a 39.7% field goal percentage (27 of 68) and knocked down 14 out of their 32 shots from downtown.

Jayden Pierre is one player who was a major contributor for this contest. He finished the contest at 62.5% from the floor and distributed 3 dimes. He was on the court for 22 mins and pulled down 6 rebounds. He totaled 17 points on 5 of 8 shooting.

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TCU heads into this contest with a mark of 3-2 on the season. They are giving up possession 12.4 times per contest and as a team are committing 17.0 fouls per contest. As a team, TCU is pulling down 37.0 boards per contest and has earned 81 dimes for the year, which is 274th in college in terms of passing the ball. The Horned Frogs are hitting 32.6% on shots from distance (44 of 135) and 75.9% from the charity stripe. They average 80.0 points per contest (169th in D-1) while hitting 43.5% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Horned Frogs are able to force 16.8 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.6 personal fouls. They concede 32.1% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 33rd in Division 1 in opponents PPG (63.6). The Horned Frogs defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 39.4% (114 of 289) and they concede 33.8 rebounds per contest as a unit. They rank 90th in the nation in allowing assists to the opposition with 71 relinquished on the year.

In their last game, the Florida Gators walked away with a victory by a final of 80-45 when they played Merrimack. In relation to rebounding, Florida allowed Merrimack to grab 19 in all (6 offensive). They finished 16.0% from 3-point land by shooting 4 of 25 and walked away from this one shooting 9 out of 11 from the free throw line (81.8%). The Gators permitted Merrimack to make 16 of 56 attempts from the field which had them at 28.6% for the contest. When the final whistle blew, the Gators went 27 for 62 from the floor which had them at 43.5%. Regarding shots from beyond the arc, Florida converted 8 out of 22 tries (36.4%). They were able to convert 18 of them for a clip of 78.3%. Merrimack committed 18 fouls for this game which got the Gators to the charity stripe for 23 tries. They turned it over 12 times, while recording 4 steals for this contest. The Gators were able to collect 34 defensive boards and 17 offensive boards totaling 51 in this matchup.

Alex Condon ended up being important for the Gators in the game. He tallied 20 points in his 29 mins of playing time and tallied 2 assists in this matchup. He made 8 out of 14 in this game giving him a rate of 57.1%, and added 11 rebounds.

Florida has a mark of 4-1 for the season. The Gators have committed 18.4 fouls per contest and they hit 68.3% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 16.2 times per contest (111th in college hoops) and they lose possession via turnover 15.0 times per contest. Florida has earned 431 points this year (86.2 per game) and they pull in 52.8 boards per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Gators are hitting on 44.1% from the field, which has them ranked 244th in college hoops.

The Gators on the defensive side of the court are 101st in Division 1 in PPG given up with 69.2. They have forced 12.2 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 35.3% from the floor (8th in college). The Florida defense surrenders 24.8% on shots from beyond the arc (27 of 109) and their opposition makes 77.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 8.8 dimes and 33.6 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 8th and 129th in those categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Florida and under the total points

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