Troy Trojans vs USC Trojans Prediction, 11/20/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs USC Trojans

Date: Thursday, November 20, 2025

Location: Galen Center in Los Angeles, CA

TV: ESPN+

Galen Center is where the USC Trojans (3-0) will take on the Troy Trojans (4-2) on Thursday.

The Troy Trojans faced off with San Diego State and walked away with a win by a score of 108-107 in their last game. Troy wrapped up the contest with a 44.4% FG percentage (32 out of 72) and made 12 out of their 34 shots from 3-point land. At the free throw line, the Trojans knocked down 32 of their 43 attempts for a percentage of 74.4%. In relation to rebounding, they earned 23 with 6 of them being offensive. They also distributed 15 assists in this game while forcing the other team into 19 turnovers and earning 12 steals. When talking about defense, Troy allowed 47.1% from the field on 32 of 68 shooting. San Diego State distributed 18 assists and had 9 steals for the game. On top of that, San Diego State collected 36 rebounds (12 offensive, 24 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. San Diego State ended up shooting 70.8% from the charity stripe by burying 34 of 48 tries. They also converted 9 of 23 tries from distance. In reference to personal fouls, the Trojans walked away with 31 while San Diego State finished the game with 29 personal fouls.

Thomas Dowd is one player who came through in the matchup. He racked up 25 points on 7 of 12 shooting. He saw the court for 46 minutes and also snagged 19 boards. He shot 58.3% from the floor and recorded 1 assist.

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Troy steps onto the hardwood with a mark of 4-2 so far this year. They are losing possession via turnover 12.5 times per contest and as a team they are committing 18.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Troy is snagging 35.3 boards per contest and has earned 105 dimes on the year, which is 5th in college hoops in terms of passing the ball. The Trojans are shooting 36.7% on shots from 3-point land (66 of 180) and 76.6% from the free throw line. They have an average of 90.7 points per contest (51st in the nation) while going 47.4% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Trojans have forced 17.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.8 fouls. They are giving up 37.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 308th in the nation in PPG from their opponents (81.5). The Trojans are giving up a field goal percentage of 45.0% (172 of 382) and they concede 37.8 rebounds per game as a squad. They rank 340th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 86 surrendered so far this year.

The last time they took the court, the USC Trojans walked away with a victory by a final of 87-67 when they faced Illinois State. When talking about cleaning the glass, USC permitted Illinois State to grab 34 in total (15 on the offensive glass). They went 21.9% from beyond the perimeter by connecting on 7 of 32 and finished the game at 12 out of 13 at the charity stripe (92.3%). The Trojans allowed Illinois State to knock down 24 out of 70 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 34.3% for this contest. When the game finished, the Trojans shot 29 out of 57 from the floor which gave them a rate of 50.9%. In regard to 3-pointers, USC made 6 of 18 attempts (33.3%). They were able to bury 23 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 65.7%. Illinois State was called for 24 personal fouls for this contest which got the Trojans to the free throw line for 35 shots. They gave up possession 4 times, while getting 6 steals for the contest. The Trojans snagged 26 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 35 for the game.

Rodney Rice ended up having an impact for the Trojans in the matchup. He tallied 21 points in his 36 mins on the court and accumulated 10 dimes in this contest. He made 6 of 16 for the contest for a field goal rate of 37.5%, and earned 10 rebounds.

USC has a win-loss record of 3-0 on the campaign. On the offensive side of the ball, the Trojans are shooting 49.3% from the field, which has them ranked 75th in college. USC has tallied 295 points on the campaign (98.3 per contest) and they grab 45.0 rebounds per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 22.7 times per contest (4th in college) and they turn it over 10.0 times per contest. The Trojans commit 19.7 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 69.2% from the charity stripe.

The Trojans defensively are ranked 156th in college in points per game surrendered with 71.3. They have forced 15.0 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 35.5% from the field (18th in Division 1). The USC defense allows 25.3% on 3-point shots (22 of 87) and opponents are making 78.7% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 12.7 assists and 37.0 boards per game, ranking them 151st and 260th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take USC

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