UC San Diego Tritons vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/12/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UC San Diego Tritons vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Wednesday, November 12, 2025

Location: Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA

TV: ESPN+

The UC San Diego Tritons (2-0) are on their way to Save Mart Center on Wednesday where they will try to beat the Fresno State Bulldogs (2-1).

The UC San Diego Tritons stepped onto the hardwood against Houston Christian and earned the victory with a final of 78-60 in their last contest. UC San Diego finished with a 50.0% field goal percentage (29 of 58) and knocked down 10 out of their 26 3-pointers. When they shot from the free throw line, the Tritons knocked down 10 of their 13 attempts for a percentage of 76.9%. When it comes to getting rebounds, they earned a total of 33 with 5 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 18 assists in the matchup in addition to creating 15 turnovers and getting 9 steals. In terms of defense, UC San Diego allowed their opponent to shoot 43.6% from the field on 24 of 55 shooting. Houston Christian earned 11 dimes and had 8 steals for the matchup. Moreover, Houston Christian snagged 29 rebounds (7 offensive, 22 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Houston Christian finished the contest at 35.7% from the free throw line by knocking down 5 of 14 shots. They knocked down 7 of 22 attempts from 3-point land. When talking about personal fouls, the Tritons finished with 12 while Houston Christian recorded 13 personal fouls.

Tom Beattie is someone who played a role for the game. He shot 58.3% from the floor and also totaled 4 dimes. He played 31 minutes and totaled 6 rebounds. He accounted for 18 points on 7 out of 12 shooting.

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UC San Diego will enter this matchup with a mark of 2-0 on the campaign. They are turning it over 12.0 times per game and as a unit they commit 11.0 fouls per game. As a unit, UC San Diego is pulling in 42.5 boards per game and has accounted for 34 assists so far this year, which has them ranked 155th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Tritons are hitting 39.2% on three-point attempts (20 of 51) and 76.5% from the charity stripe. They average 91.5 points per contest (80st in D-1) while shooting 50.8% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Tritons are forcing 15.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.5 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 154th in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 24 conceded for the campaign. The Tritons defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 45.3% (53 of 117) and they surrender 27.0 boards per contest as a squad. They relinquish 34.7% on shots from distance and they are 121st in D-1 in points per game allowed (66.5).

The last time they took the court, the Fresno State Bulldogs got the victory with a final of 82-62 against Long Beach State. The Bulldogs earned 26 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 36 for the contest. They turned it over 16 times, while getting 9 steals in the game. Long Beach State was called for 24 fouls for this contest which took the Bulldogs to the free throw line for a total of 28 tries. They were able to make 21 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 75.0%. In reference to shots from distance, Fresno State knocked down 9 out of their 23 attempts (39.1%). When this game wrapped up, the Bulldogs went 26 for 52 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 50.0%. The Bulldogs allowed Long Beach State to knock down 20 of their 53 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 37.7% for this contest. They wrapped up this game 19.0% from 3-point land by going 4 of 21 and finished the contest at 18 out of 23 at the charity stripe (78.3%). In reference to rebounding, Fresno State allowed Long Beach State to grab 23 in all (6 on the offensive side).

Jake Heidbreder was important for the Bulldogs for the contest. He converted 8 out of 13 in this game for a rate of 61.5%, and accumulated 2 rebounds. He recorded 24 points in his 36 mins on the court and had 3 dimes in this contest.

Fresno State has a win-loss mark of 2-1 on the campaign. The Bulldogs commit 16.7 personal fouls every game and they go 67.9% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 13.3 times per game (247th in Division 1) and they turn the ball over 14.3 times per contest. Fresno State has totaled 236 points this year (78.7 per game) and they pull in 40.0 rebounds per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Bulldogs are connecting on 47.6% from the field, which is 141st in Division 1.

The Fresno State defense surrenders 21.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter (16 of 73) and their opponents are making 72.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have surrendered 7.3 assists and 30.0 rebounds per contest, which ranks 17th and 71st in those categories on the defensive end. The Bulldogs defensively are ranked 59th in D-1 in points allowed per game with 60.0. They have forced 17.3 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 37.4% from the field (84th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Fresno State

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