UMBC Retrievers vs Dayton Flyers Prediction, 11/8/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UMBC Retrievers vs Dayton Flyers

Date: Saturday, November 8, 2025

Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH

TV: ESPN+

UD Arena is the location where the Dayton Flyers (1-0) will take on the UMBC Retrievers (1-0) on Saturday.

The UMBC Retrievers stepped onto the hardwood against Penn St. - York and earned the victory with a final of 74-53 in their last contest. In relation to personal fouls, the Retrievers ended up finishing with 16 while Penn St. - York finished the game with 12 personal fouls. They converted 1 out of their 13 attempts from 3-point range. Penn St. - York ended up shooting 58.8% at the charity stripe by knocking down 10 of 17 shots. In addition, Penn St. - York grabbed 33 boards (8 offensive, 25 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Penn St. - York dished out 5 dimes and had 3 steals for this game. In regard to defense, UMBC allowed their opponent to shoot 35.0% from the floor on 21 of 60 shooting. They also distributed 14 dimes for the contest while forcing the opposition into 12 turnovers and having 6 steals. With respect to grabbing rebounds, they earned 35 with 7 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Retrievers knocked down 9 of their 13 tries for a rate of 69.2%. UMBC ended the game having earned a 42.9% FG percentage (27 out of 63) and converted 11 of 28 3-point shots.

Jah'Likai King is someone who played a role for this game. He totaled 23 points on 8 out of 15 shooting. He was on the court for 29 minutes played and snagged 8 boards. He finished shooting 53.3% from the floor and also recorded 1 assist.

Get all of our NCAA Betting Picks

UMBC comes into this one with a win-loss mark of 1-0 this season. They average 74.0 points per outing (249th in the nation) while going 42.9% from the floor. The Retrievers are connecting on 39.3% on shots from downtown (11 of 28) and 69.2% from the charity stripe. As a unit, UMBC is snagging 41.0 rebounds per game and has earned 14 assists for the season, which ranks 252nd in the nation in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 11.0 times per game and as a unit are committing 16.0 personal fouls every game.

Defensively, the Retrievers are forcing their opponents into 13.0 turnovers per game and they draw 12.0 fouls. They give up 7.7% on three-point shots and they are 56th in the nation in PPG allowed (53.0). The Retrievers defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 35.0% (21 of 60) and they relinquish 37.0 boards per game as a team. They rank 30th in college in giving up assists with 5 conceded for the year.

In their last game, the Dayton Flyers went home victorious with a score of 88-48 when they played Canisius. The Flyers corralled 21 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards totaling 30 in this contest. They coughed up the ball 4 times, while recording 12 steals in this contest. Canisius had 26 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Flyers to the free throw line for a total of 41 tries. They were able to knock down 28 of those for a clip of 68.3%. Pertaining to three-point shots, Dayton made 6 of 24 attempts (25.0%). Overall, the Flyers finished the game shooting 27 for 51 from the floor which had them sitting at 52.9%. The Flyers allowed Canisius to knock down 18 of their 50 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 36.0% for this game. They finished 36.8% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 7 of 19 and ended up going 5 of 11 at the free throw line (45.5%). When discussing attacking the glass, Dayton allowed Canisius to snag 29 overall (9 offensive).

Javon Bennett was important for the Flyers for the contest. He converted 8 out of 10 in the game for a field goal percentage of 80.0%, and had 1 rebound. He recorded 20 points in his 28 mins of playing time and tallied 2 dimes for the contest.

Dayton has a record of 1-0 on the season. The Flyers are responsible for committing 15.0 personal fouls per contest and they go 68.3% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 16.0 times per contest (162nd in the country) and they turn it over 4.0 times per contest. Dayton has totaled 88 points so far this season and they pull in 33.0 boards per contest. When it comes to offense, the Flyers are shooting 52.9% from the field, which has them ranked 62nd in the nation.

The Dayton defense gives up 36.8% on shots from distance (7 of 19) and their opponents are converting on 45.5% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 10.0 dimes and 31.0 boards every game, which is ranked 133rd and 131st in Division 1. The Flyers are ranked 31st in college hoops in points allowed per game with 48.0. They are forcing 19.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 36.0% from the field (104th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dayton

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.