USC Upstate Spartans vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/5/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: USC Upstate Spartans vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Wednesday, November 5, 2025

Location: Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA

TV: ESPN+

The Fresno State Bulldogs (6-26 last year) host the USC Upstate Spartans (6-26 last season) at Save Mart Center on Wednesday.

The USC Upstate Spartans faced Gardner-Webb and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 83-63 in their last game. In the matter of personal fouls, the Spartans finished with 17 while Gardner-Webb had 15 personal fouls. They buried 5 of their 16 tries from beyond the arc. Gardner-Webb finished the contest at 80.0% when shooting free throws by converting 16 of their 20 tries. In addition, Gardner-Webb totaled 43 boards (16 offensive, 27 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Gardner-Webb distributed 9 dimes and had 10 steals in this game. With respect to the defense, USC Upstate allowed the other team to shoot 46.3% from the floor on 31 of 67 shooting. They also dished out 8 dimes for the game as well as forcing the opposition into 16 turnovers and having 11 steals. In the matter of getting rebounds, they collected a total of 31 with 10 of them being of the offensive variety. At the charity stripe, the Spartans knocked down 12 of 19 attempts for a percentage of 63.2%. USC Upstate ended having earned a 37.1% field goal percentage (23 out of 62) and knocked down 5 out of their 25 3-point shots.

Karmani Gregory is a guy who was important in this matchup. He finished shooting 35.7% from the floor and also distributed 5 dimes. He was on the court for 38 mins played and also grabbed 4 rebounds. He ended up finishing with 17 points on 5 of 14 shooting.

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USC Upstate will enter this contest after finishing with a win-loss record of 6-26 last season. They had an average of 74.8 points per game (144th in Division 1) while shooting 45.4% from the field. The Spartans connected on 30.6% on three-point attempts (222 of 726) and 67.5% from the free throw line. As a unit, USC Upstate grabbed 33.9 boards per game and earned 426 dimes last season, which ranked 217th in Division 1 in terms of passing. They lost possession by turning the ball over 14.2 times per contest and as a unit committed 19.3 fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Spartans forced 12.5 turnovers every game and they drew 17.1 personal fouls. They gave up 34.3% on 3-point shots and they ranked 361st in D-1 in PPG from their opponents (83.5). The Spartans defensively allowed an opponent FG percentage of 47.8% (933 of 1,951) and they conceded 37.8 boards per game as a squad. They were 184th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 435 conceded last year.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Fresno State Bulldogs took a defeat with a final score of 86-71 against Nevada. The Bulldogs corralled 19 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards totaling 28 in this game. They also turned the ball over 11 times, while recording 6 steals for this contest. Nevada earned 23 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for a total of 29 attempts. They were able to convert 19 of the free throws for a percentage of 65.5%. In relation to three-point attempts, Fresno State buried 8 of their 20 tries (40.0%). In all, the Bulldogs ended up going 22 out of 53 from the field which had them sitting at 41.5%. The Bulldogs allowed Nevada to convert 32 of 67 attempts from the field which had them at 47.8% in this matchup. They went 25.0% from three-point range by shooting 6 out of 24 and finished the contest at 16 out of 21 at the free throw line (76.2%). In reference to how they rebounded, Fresno State permitted Nevada to get 39 in total (15 on the offensive glass).

Elijah Price ended up being important for the Bulldogs in the matchup. He converted 3 of 8 in this matchup giving him a rate of 37.5%, and had 11 rebounds. He earned 17 points in his 36 mins of playing time and earned 2 assists for the game.

Fresno State had a win-loss mark of 6-26 last season. As an offense, the Bulldogs hit 40.6% from the field, which was ranked 351st in the nation. Fresno State tallied 2,262 points last year (70.7 per game) and they grabbed 34.8 rebounds per game. They dished out assists 10.8 times per contest (349th in the nation) and they lost possession via turnover 12.9 times per contest. The Bulldogs were responsible for committing 15.4 personal fouls every game and they shot 69.2% from the charity stripe.

The Bulldogs defensively were ranked 352nd in D-1 in PPG allowed with 80.7. They forced 13.1 TO's per game and let teams shoot 46.6% from the floor (323rd in college hoops). The Fresno State defense gave up 34.2% on three-point shots (304 of 890) and their opponents made 72.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They conceded 17.3 assists and 41.0 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranked them 362nd and 363rd in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take USC Upstate

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