USC Upstate Spartans vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, 12/13/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: USC Upstate Spartans vs North Carolina Tar Heels

Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025

Location: Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, NC

TV: ESPN+

The USC Upstate Spartans (6-5) are on their way to Dean E. Smith Center on Saturday where they will try to beat the North Carolina Tar Heels (8-1).

The USC Upstate Spartans took the court against Western Carolina and took home the win by a score of 78-67 in their last game. In reference to fouls, the Spartans ended up with 23 and Western Carolina accounted for 24 fouls. They also made 4 out of their 17 tries from beyond the perimeter. Western Carolina finished shooting 82.1% at the charity stripe by knocking down 23 of 28 tries. On top of that, Western Carolina grabbed 32 boards (7 offensive, 25 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Western Carolina recorded 5 assists and had 6 steals for this game. When it comes to defense, USC Upstate allowed the other team to shoot 34.5% from the floor on 20 of 58 shooting. They also doled out 14 assists for the game while forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and having 3 steals. Regarding grabbing boards, they collected 37 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. From the charity stripe, the Spartans converted 24 of their 30 attempts for a percentage of 80.0%. USC Upstate walked away from the game with a 45.1% FG percentage (23 out of 51) and made 8 of their 26 shots from beyond the arc.

Karmani Gregory is one player who came through for the contest. He finished the contest at 44.4% from the field and dished out 6 assists. He was on the hardwood for 25 minutes and also pulled down 1 rebound. He ended up finishing with 15 points on 4 of 9 shooting.

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USC Upstate heads into this one with a win-loss mark of 6-5 this season. They lose possession via turnover 12.3 times per contest and as a team are committing 17.9 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, USC Upstate is grabbing 39.2 rebounds per game and is sitting with 151 dimes for the year, which ranks 118th in college hoops in terms of passing the rock. The Spartans are shooting 33.7% on 3-pointers (88 of 261) and 68.9% from the charity stripe. They average 79.7 pts per contest (142nd in the nation) while shooting 45.6% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Spartans are able to force 13.2 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.5 personal fouls. They are ranked 98th in Division 1 in giving up assists with 113 surrendered so far this season. The Spartans defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 39.6% (267 of 674) and they concede 38.5 boards per game as a team. They concede 29.4% on 3-point attempts and they are 109th in college hoops in points per game allowed (69.9).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the North Carolina Tar Heels went home victorious with a score of 81-61 when they faced Georgetown. When talking about rebounding, North Carolina permitted Georgetown to collect 33 in total (11 on the offensive side). They finished 17.4% from 3-point land by going 4 out of 23 and finished the game at 9 of 12 at the free throw line (75.0%). The Tar Heels permitted Georgetown to bury 24 out of 72 tries from the field which left them shooting 33.3% for this contest. When all was said and done, the Tar Heels shot 29 out of 60 from the floor which had them sitting at 48.3%. In terms of 3-pointers, North Carolina knocked down 9 out of their 28 attempts (32.1%). They were able to knock down 14 of them for a percentage of 66.7%. Georgetown was called for 17 fouls for the game which got the Tar Heels to the free throw line for 21 shots. They also coughed up the ball 9 times, while earning 2 steals in this matchup. The Tar Heels recorded 36 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 42 in this game.

Caleb Wilson was important for the Tar Heels in the matchup. He tallied 20 points in his 35 mins on the court and had 1 assist for the matchup. He buried 7 out of 12 for this game giving him a rate of 58.3%, and had 14 rebounds.

North Carolina has a win-loss mark of 8-1 so far this season. The Tar Heels have committed 15.9 fouls every game and they shoot 70.7% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 16.0 times per contest (108th in D-1) and they cough up possession 11.0 times per game. North Carolina has scored 731 points so far this season (81.2 per game) and they grab 43.4 boards per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Tar Heels are shooting 46.2% from the field, which has them ranked 148th in college.

The Tar Heels on the defensive end are ranked 25th in college hoops in PPG surrendered with 65.0. They have forced 9.9 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 36.8% from the field (10th in college hoops). The North Carolina defense gives up 29.4% on shots from 3-point land (57 of 194) and opponents are connecting on 70.4% of their foul shots. They surrender 10.3 dimes and 33.6 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 31st and 137th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take USC Upstate

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