UT Rio Grande Vaqueros vs Missouri State Bears Prediction, 11/22/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UTRGV Vaqueros vs Missouri State Bears

Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025

Location: Great Southern Bank Arena in Springfield, MO

TV: ESPN+

The UTRGV Vaqueros (2-2) are on their way to Great Southern Bank Arena on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Missouri State Bears (2-2).

The UTRGV Vaqueros took the court against Southwestern Adventist and went home with a win by a final score of 110-53 in their last contest. When talking about fouls, the Vaqueros walked away with 8 and Southwestern Adventist accounted for 16 fouls. They made 9 of their 23 attempts from distance. Southwestern Adventist walked away from this one shooting 75.0% at the charity stripe by converting 6 of 8 attempts. On top of that, Southwestern Adventist collected 17 boards (5 offensive, 12 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Southwestern Adventist totaled 11 dimes and had 4 steals for the game. Pertaining to defense, UT Rio Grande allowed the other team to shoot 35.2% from the field on 19 out of 54 shooting. They also recorded 28 dimes in this matchup in addition to forcing the opposition into 17 turnovers and getting 11 steals. In reference to hauling in boards, they earned 46 with 18 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Vaqueros made 19 of their 23 attempts for a rate of 82.6%. UT Rio Grande finished the contest with a 52.9% FG percentage (37 of 70) and made 17 of their 36 shots from beyond the arc.

Koree Cotton is someone who was a major contributor for the game. He finished the game shooting 66.7% from the field and also recorded 2 dimes. He was on the court for 18 mins and snagged 3 rebounds. He totaled 18 points on 6 of 9 shooting.

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UT Rio Grande enters this matchup with a mark of 2-2 this year. They average 87.8 points per outing (76th in the country) while shooting 50.2% from the floor. The Vaqueros are hitting 46.2% on 3-point shots (49 of 106) and 68.9% from the free throw line. As a unit, UT Rio Grande is collecting 35.3 rebounds per game and has totaled 74 dimes so far this year, which is 149th in Division 1 in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 11.8 times per game and as a team are committing 19.8 fouls per game.

On the defensive end, the Vaqueros are forcing 14.8 turnovers per contest and they draw 14.5 fouls. They are 176th in D-1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 60 surrendered on the year. The Vaqueros are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.6% (105 of 241) and they relinquish 35.8 boards per game as a group. They are relinquishing 37.6% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 242nd in the nation in points per game allowed (76.5).

For their last game, the Missouri State Bears took a loss by a final score of 67-49 when they faced UT Arlington. The Bears were able to snag 23 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive boards totaling 27 for this contest. They gave up possession 16 times, while getting 12 steals for the contest. UT Arlington earned 18 fouls in the matchup which got the Bears to the free throw line for a total of 24 attempts. They were able to knock down 16 of those for a clip of 66.7%. When discussing shots from beyond the arc, Missouri State buried 1 of 14 attempts (7.1%). Overall, the Bears ended up going 16 out of 50 from the floor which had them shooting 32.0%. The Bears allowed UT Arlington to make 27 of their 62 tries from the field which left them with a rate of 43.5% for this contest. They shot 41.2% from three-point range by shooting 7 out of 17 and ended up going 6 out of 17 at the free throw line (35.3%). In the matter of attacking the glass, Missouri State allowed UT Arlington to get 39 in total (15 offensive).

Michael Osei-Bonsu ended up being a factor for the Bears for the contest. He racked up 22 points in his 32 mins of playing time and had 1 assist in the matchup. He buried 10 out of 17 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 58.8%, and had 5 rebounds.

Missouri State has a win-loss record of 2-2 this season. The Bears have committed 17.3 personal fouls every game and they hit 69.8% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 17.5 times per contest (79th in college) and they cough up possession 12.3 times per contest. Missouri State has accumulated 328 pts on the season (82.0 per game) and they collect 43.0 boards per contest. As an offense, the Bears are shooting 45.8% from the floor, which ranks them 180th in the country.

The Missouri State defense allows 27.8% on three-point shots (22 of 79) and opponents are connecting on 59.7% of their foul shots. They concede 14.3 dimes and 37.3 rebounds per game, which ranks them 239th and 271st in those categories on the defensive end. The Bears are ranked 133rd in college in points given up per game with 70.0. They are forcing 14.0 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.9% from the floor (124th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Missouri State

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