UT Rio Grande Vaqueros vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Prediction, 12/3/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UTRGV Vaqueros vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2025

Location: William R. Johnson Coliseum in Nacogdoches, TX

TV: ESPN+

William R. Johnson Coliseum is the site where the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (5-2) will attempt to beat the UTRGV Vaqueros (2-4) on Wednesday.

The UTRGV Vaqueros played Illinois and took a loss by a score of 87-73 in their last contest. Regarding personal fouls, the Vaqueros walked away with 20 and Illinois totaled 16 personal fouls. They knocked down 8 of 30 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Illinois finished 86.4% from the charity stripe by converting 19 of their 22 attempts. On top of that, Illinois collected 42 rebounds (10 offensive, 32 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Illinois doled out 17 assists and had 1 steal for this game. In regard to the defense, UT Rio Grande allowed the other team to shoot 50.0% from the field on 30 out of 60 shooting. They also doled out 10 assists in this game while forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and having 7 steals. In reference to pulling down rebounds, they earned 31 with 10 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Vaqueros buried 8 of 16 tries for a percentage of 50.0%. UT Rio Grande walked away from the contest having earned a 39.7% FG percentage (27 out of 68) and knocked down 11 of 26 shots from 3-point land.

Kye Dickson is someone who came through in the matchup. He recorded 21 points on 8 out of 14 shooting. He saw the court for 29 mins and also snagged 5 boards. He finished the contest at 57.1% from the floor but had no dimes when the game ended.

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UT Rio Grande heads into this contest with a record of 2-4 so far this year. They average 81.8 points per contest (117th in D-1) while connecting on 47.6% from the field. The Vaqueros are hitting 43.0% on shots from 3-point land (65 of 151) and 68.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, UT Rio Grande is pulling in 35.0 rebounds per game and has accounted for 98 dimes for the campaign, which ranks 278th in D-1 in terms of passing. They turn it over 10.8 times per contest and as a team they commit 20.0 personal fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Vaqueros are able to force 12.5 turnovers per game and they draw 15.0 fouls. They relinquish 33.7% on shots from distance and they are 265th in college in PPG from their opponents (77.8). Vaqueros defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 44.4% (158 of 356) and they surrender 35.3 rebounds per game as a unit. They are currently ranked 120th in college in allowing assists with 92 surrendered on the campaign.

In their last game, the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks took a loss by a score of 66-61 against UT Arlington. The Lumberjacks snagged 15 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 24 in the game. They also coughed up the ball 10 times, while recording 5 steals in the matchup. UT Arlington had 10 personal fouls for this contest which took the Lumberjacks to the charity stripe for a total of 8 attempts. They were able to convert 6 of them for a rate of 75.0%. In relation to three-point attempts, Stephen F. Austin knocked down 3 of 13 attempts (23.1%). Overall, the Lumberjacks walked away from this one shooting 26 for 61 from the floor which had them shooting 42.6%. The Lumberjacks allowed UT Arlington to make 21 of 47 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.7% for the game. They finished the game shooting 36.4% from distance by going 4 out of 11 and ended up shooting 20 out of 25 at the free throw line (80.0%). When talking about team rebounding, Stephen F. Austin permitted UT Arlington to collect 28 in all (7 on the offensive glass).

Keon Thompson ended up being a factor for the Lumberjacks for this game. He made 8 of 21 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 38.1%, and accounted for 3 rebounds. He racked up 20 points in his 33 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 3 dimes in this matchup.

Stephen F. Austin has a win-loss mark of 5-2 on the campaign. The Lumberjacks commit 19.0 fouls per contest while shooting 61.1% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 14.6 times per contest (183rd in college hoops) and they turn it over 10.1 times per contest. Stephen F. Austin has earned 552 points on the campaign (78.9 per game) and they pull in 37.4 rebounds per game. When it comes to offense, the Lumberjacks are connecting on 45.3% from the field, which has them ranked 193rd in the country.

The Stephen F. Austin defense allows 31.2% on shots from behind the 3-point line (34 of 109) and their opponents are making 72.9% of their free throw attempts. They relinquish 10.3 assists and 33.7 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 33rd and 133rd in those categories on the defensive end. The Lumberjacks on defense are ranked 99th in college hoops in PPG given up with 68.9. They have forced 12.7 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 42.6% from the field (152nd in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take UT Rio Grande

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