Wagner Seahawks vs UMBC Retrievers Prediction, 11/16/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Wagner Seahawks vs UMBC Retrievers

Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025

Location: Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena in Baltimore, MD

TV: ESPN+

Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena is the site where the UMBC Retrievers (2-1) will take on the Wagner Seahawks (0-3) on Sunday.

The Wagner Seahawks played Fordham and took a loss by a score of 63-61 in their last game. Wagner wrapped up the game having earned a 39.0% field goal percentage (23 out of 59) and made 12 of 29 shots from distance. At the charity stripe, the Seahawks made 3 of their 6 attempts for a rate of 50.0%. In terms of grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 33 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 18 dimes in this contest in addition to forcing 5 turnovers and getting 3 steals. In terms of the defense, Wagner let their opponent shoot 41.5% from the floor on 22 out of 53 shooting. Fordham distributed 9 assists and had 7 steals in the game. Moreover, Fordham grabbed 32 boards (8 offensive, 24 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Fordham went 71.4% when shooting free throws by knocking down 15 of 21 tries. They converted 4 out of their 16 shots from distance. When it comes to fouls, the Seahawks finished with 19 and Fordham racked up 10 fouls.

Eduardo Placer is one player who was a factor in this game. He walked away from this one shooting 58.3% from the field and dished out 2 assists. He saw the court for 25 mins played and also snagged 2 rebounds. He left the arena with 20 points on 7 of 12 shooting.

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Wagner heads into this contest with a win-loss record of 0-3 for the campaign. They lose possession by turning the ball over 14.7 times per game and as a team are committing 22.3 personal fouls per game. As a team, Wagner is snagging 35.0 rebounds per game and has tallied 44 assists for the campaign, which ranks 205th in college hoops in terms of passing the ball. The Seahawks are shooting 43.7% on 3-point shots (31 of 71) and 59.5% from the free throw line. They average 65.3 pts per contest (334th in the nation) on 40.9% from the floor.

On defense, the Seahawks are able to force 9.0 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 14.0 fouls. They are ranked 265th in college hoops in giving up assists with 45 relinquished this season. The Seahawks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 44.5% (81 of 182) and they surrender 39.3 boards per game as a group. They give up 34.3% on 3-pointers while they are 258th in college in points per game allowed (78.0).

When they last stepped on the court, the UMBC Retrievers walked away with a victory by a final of 81-79 when they faced Morgan State. In relation to rebounds, UMBC allowed Morgan State to get 30 overall (12 on the offensive side). They went 47.4% from 3-point land by connecting on 9 of 19 and walked away from this one shooting 10 of 13 at the free throw line (76.9%). The Retrievers allowed Morgan State to convert 30 out of their 70 attempts from the field which left them shooting 42.9% in the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Retrievers finished 28 for 49 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 57.1%. Concerning shooting from downtown, UMBC converted 9 of 24 attempts (37.5%). They were able to knock down 16 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 66.7%. Morgan State earned 16 fouls for the contest which got the Retrievers to the charity stripe for 24 tries. They also turned it over 18 times, while recording 4 steals for this game. The Retrievers earned 26 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 32 for the contest.

Daylon Dickerson ended up having an impact for the Retrievers in the matchup. He buried 7 out of 9 in this game for a field goal rate of 77.8%, and totaled 10 rebounds. He had 18 points in his 30 mins on the hardwood and earned 2 dimes in the matchup.

UMBC has a win-loss mark of 2-1 for the year. On the offensive side of the court, the Retrievers are connecting on 47.6% from the floor, which has them ranked 129th in the nation. UMBC has earned 226 pts this season (75.3 per contest) and they pull in 35.0 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 14.0 times per contest (228th in college) and they turn the ball over 14.7 times per contest. The Retrievers are responsible for committing 15.7 fouls every game and they go 70.2% from the charity stripe.

The Retrievers defensively are ranked 156th in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 69.7. They are able to force 10.3 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 42.5% from the field (198th in the nation). The UMBC defense allows 31.4% on shots from behind the 3-point line (16 of 51) and their opponents are making 72.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 11.3 assists and 32.3 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 109th and 103rd in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take UMBC

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