Western Michigan Broncos vs Valparaiso Beacons Prediction, 11/29/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Western Michigan Broncos vs Valparaiso Beacons

Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025

Location: Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso, IN

TV: ESPN+

The Valparaiso Beacons (4-2) will take on the Western Michigan Broncos (3-4) at Athletics-Recreation Center on Saturday.

The Western Michigan Broncos played Mount St. Mary's and earned the victory with a final of 83-60 in their last game. Western Michigan ended the contest having earned a 48.4% FG percentage (31 out of 64) and buried 9 of 25 shots from downtown. From the charity stripe, the Broncos converted 12 of 14 shots for a percentage of 85.7%. When talking about pulling down rebounds, they earned 31 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 14 assists for the matchup while creating 17 turnovers and getting 10 steals. In reference to the defense, Western Michigan allowed the other team to go 40.4% from the field on 21 of 52 shooting. Mount St. Mary's doled out 15 assists and had 1 steal for the game. Furthermore, Mount St. Mary's snagged 27 rebounds (7 offensive, 20 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Mount St. Mary's ended up shooting 81.8% from the charity stripe by knocking down 9 of 11 attempts. They also made 9 out of their 26 shots from downtown. In the matter of fouls, the Broncos finished with 11 and Mount St. Mary's recorded 14 fouls.

Jalen Griffith is someone who came through for this game. He finished the game at 71.4% from the field and recorded 3 assists. He was on the court for 37 minutes and grabbed 1 rebound. He finished with 30 points on 10 of 14 shooting.

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Western Michigan will enter this matchup with a win-loss record of 3-4 this season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 14.9 times per game and as a team they are committing 19.6 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Western Michigan is snagging 39.1 rebounds per game and has 92 assists this year, which is 237th in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Broncos are shooting 30.4% on shots from downtown (41 of 135) and 76.5% from the charity stripe. They average 77.3 pts per contest (202nd in Division 1) on 44.9% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Broncos are forcing 12.0 turnovers every game and they draw 18.3 fouls. They are giving up 32.2% on 3-point attempts and they are 278th in college in points per game from their opponents (78.9). The Broncos are allowing a FG percentage of 42.5% (186 of 438) and they relinquish 36.0 boards per game as a team. They rank 327th in college in giving up assists with 114 surrendered for the year.

For their last game, the Valparaiso Beacons took a defeat with a final score of 64-56 against Southern Indiana. When talking about how they rebounded, Valparaiso allowed Southern Indiana to grab 43 in total (10 offensive). They wrapped up this game 36.0% from three-point range by going 9 of 25 and finished the contest at 15 of 25 at the free throw line (60.0%). The Beacons permitted Southern Indiana to convert 20 of their 56 tries from the field which had them shooting 35.7% for this contest. When the final whistle was blown, the Beacons finished 23 for 79 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 29.1%. With regard to shots from beyond the perimeter, Valparaiso knocked down 4 of their 26 attempts (15.4%). They were able to knock down 6 of them for a percentage of 60.0%. Southern Indiana earned 13 personal fouls in this contest which got the Beacons to the free throw line for 10 shots. They gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while recording 6 steals for the matchup. The Beacons recorded 26 defensive boards and 16 offensive boards totaling 42 in the matchup.

Brody Whitaker was important for the Beacons for the game. He buried 5 of 9 in the game giving him a rate of 55.6%, and had 5 rebounds. He recorded 10 points in his 22 mins on the court, but wrapped up this contest with no dimes.

Valparaiso has a win-loss mark of 4-2 on the season. In terms of offensive execution, the Beacons are connecting on 37.3% from the field, which ranks them 357th in Division 1. Valparaiso has accounted for 407 points on the campaign (67.8 per contest) and they pull in 39.3 rebounds per game. They are getting an assist 10.5 times per game (351st in college) and they turn the ball over 9.7 times per contest. The Beacons commit 16.8 fouls per contest and they go 66.2% from the charity stripe.

The Beacons on the defensive side of the court are 147th in the country in points given up per game with 71.6. They are able to force 12.6 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.1% from the floor (133rd in college). The Valparaiso defense allows 30.6% on 3-pointers (37 of 121) and their opposition knocks down 79.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have conceded 11.8 dimes and 38.0 rebounds per game, which is 101st and 304th in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Valparaiso

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