Air Force Falcons vs Colorado State Rams Prediction, 1/20/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Colorado State Rams

Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2026

Location: Moby Arena in Fort Collins, CO

TV: ESPN+

The Colorado State Rams (11-7) will play the Air Force Falcons (3-15) at Moby Arena on Tuesday.

The Air Force Falcons faced Nevada and took a loss by a score of 81-66 in their last game. Air Force finished the contest having earned a 41.1% FG percentage (23 out of 56) and converted 14 out of their 32 shots from distance. From the free throw line, the Falcons buried 6 of 6 shots for a rate of 100.0%. In the matter of rebounding, they earned 19 with 3 of them being offensive. They also dished out 17 dimes in this matchup as well as forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and getting 6 steals. When discussing defense, Air Force allowed the other team to shoot 52.9% from the field on 27 out of 51 shooting. Nevada distributed 14 assists and had 7 steals for the contest. In addition, Nevada pulled down 36 rebounds (8 offensive, 28 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Nevada shot 90.5% from the free throw line by knocking down 19 of their 21 tries. They converted 8 of their 15 attempts from distance. Concerning fouls, the Falcons ended up finishing with 17 while Nevada finished the game with 14 fouls.

Lucas Hobin is one guy who played a role in this matchup. He finished the game shooting 53.8% from the floor and also distributed 1 assist. He played 35 minutes played and also collected 4 rebounds. He recorded 22 points on 7 out of 13 shooting.

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Air Force enters this one with a mark of 3-15 for the year. They are giving up possession 14.8 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 17.1 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Air Force is collecting 29.8 rebounds per contest and has racked up 216 assists this year, which ranks 327th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The Falcons are hitting 30.6% on shots beyond the perimeter (113 of 369) and 64.1% from the free throw line. They are averaging 62.2 pts per contest (361st in Division 1) while going 43.3% from the field.

Defensively, the Falcons have forced 11.6 turnovers every game while drawing 18.8 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 35.7% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 247th in college in opponents points per game (75.9). The Falcons defense is giving up a FG percentage of 46.9% (482 of 1,027) and they concede 35.5 boards per game as a team. They are ranked 244th in the country in giving up assists with 262 surrendered for the campaign.

When they last played, the Colorado State Rams took a defeat with a final score of 79-73 when they played Boise State. In reference to attacking the glass, Colorado State permitted Boise State to snag 25 in all (9 offensive). They finished 40.0% from 3-point land by hitting 12 out of 30 and walked away from this one shooting 21 out of 27 from the free throw line (77.8%). The Rams allowed Boise State to convert 23 of their 49 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.9% in the game. When the final whistle was blown, the Rams shot 23 out of 47 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 48.9%. With regard to shots from beyond the perimeter, Colorado State made 14 out of their 25 tries (56.0%). They were able to make 13 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 92.9%. Boise State was called for 12 fouls in the matchup which took the Rams to the charity stripe for a total of 14 tries. They also coughed it up 14 times, while recording 3 steals for this contest. The Rams were able to collect 20 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards totaling 26 for this contest.

Brandon Rechsteiner ended up being important for the Rams in the matchup. He scored 17 points in his 31 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 3 dimes for this contest. He made 6 of 11 for this game for a field goal rate of 54.5%, and earned 5 rebounds.

Colorado State has a record of 11-7 this season. The Rams commit 16.7 fouls every game while shooting 77.7% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 15.9 times per game (89th in college hoops) and they cough up possession 11.8 times per contest. Colorado State has totaled 1,415 pts so far this year (78.6 per game) and they pull in 33.1 rebounds per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Rams are shooting 50.1% from the field, which is ranked 20th in college hoops.

The Rams are ranked 144th in college hoops in points allowed per game with 72.3. They are forcing 9.8 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.2% from the field (264th in D-1). The Colorado State defense allows 34.7% from downtown (161 of 464) and opponents are making 68.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 12.1 assists and 29.2 rebounds every game, which ranks them 83rd and 7th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Colorado State

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