Air Force Falcons vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 2/14/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026

Location: Save Mart Center in Fresno, CA

TV: ESPN+

Save Mart Center is the site where the Fresno State Bulldogs (11-13) will attempt to defeat the Air Force Falcons (3-21) on Saturday.

The Air Force Falcons played Colorado State and took a loss by a score of 91-74 in their last game. Air Force ended having earned a 55.3% field goal percentage (26 of 47) and converted 12 of 21 shots from downtown. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Falcons buried 10 of 22 tries for a percentage of 45.5%. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they collected 24 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 19 assists in the game in addition to forcing the opposition into 8 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In relation to defending, Air Force allowed their opponent to shoot 54.5% from the field on 24 out of 44 shooting. Colorado State totaled 17 dimes and had 7 steals in this matchup. Furthermore, Colorado State pulled down 25 rebounds (3 offensive, 22 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Colorado State shot 80.6% from the charity stripe by knocking down 29 of 36 attempts. They made 14 out of their 26 attempts from beyond the perimeter. When talking about fouls, the Falcons finished with 27 while Colorado State recorded 20 fouls.

Kam Sanders is a guy who was a major factor for the matchup. He scored 17 points on 5 out of 7 shooting. He saw the court for 28 mins played and also grabbed 3 rebounds. He walked away from this one shooting 71.4% from the floor and also totaled 6 assists.

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Air Force comes into this game with a win-loss mark of 3-21 on the campaign. They are averaging 61.4 pts per contest (364th in D-1) while shooting 42.8% from the floor. The Falcons are hitting 31.5% on shots from downtown (161 of 511) and 64.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, Air Force is grabbing 29.2 boards per contest and has accounted for 295 dimes for the year, which ranks 313th in D-1 in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 15.1 times per contest and as a group they commit 17.5 personal fouls every game.

Defensively, the Falcons have forced 10.5 turnovers per game and they draw 18.0 fouls. They are relinquishing 37.6% on 3-point attempts while they are 298th in the nation in PPG allowed (78.4). The Falcons defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 48.6% (663 of 1,364) and they concede 35.1 rebounds per contest as a team. They rank 267th in the country in giving up assists with 360 surrendered this year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Fresno State Bulldogs walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 91-78 when they faced Utah State. The Bulldogs were able to collect 21 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 30 for this game. They also coughed it up 10 times, while recording 8 steals in the matchup. Utah State committed 20 personal fouls for this game which took the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for a total of 23 attempts. They were able to knock down 18 of them for a percentage of 78.3%. Regarding shots from beyond the perimeter, Fresno State converted 8 out of 29 tries (27.6%). When the final whistle was blown, the Bulldogs finished the game shooting 26 for 65 from the field which gave them a percentage of 40.0%. The Bulldogs permitted Utah State to make 31 of 61 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.8% in the game. They shot 42.4% from distance by going 14 out of 33 and ended up shooting 15 out of 19 from the free throw line (78.9%). In regard to rebounding, Fresno State permitted Utah State to grab 31 in total (8 on the offensive side).

DeShawn Gory was important for the Bulldogs in the game. He converted 8 out of 17 in the matchup for a rate of 47.1%, and had 8 rebounds. He had 21 points in his 35 mins of playing time and accounted for 5 assists for the matchup.

Fresno State has a record of 11-13 on the year. When it comes to offensive execution, the Bulldogs are hitting on 43.9% from the field, which has them ranked 261st in college. Fresno State has totaled 1,750 pts for the campaign (72.9 per game) and they average 34.9 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 13.1 times per contest (250th in the nation) and they are giving up possession 13.5 times per contest. The Bulldogs are committing 17.1 personal fouls per game and they connect on 74.8% from the free throw line.

The Bulldogs on the defensive end are ranked 133rd in Division 1 in points allowed per game with 72.2. They are able to force 13.6 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.9% from the field (180th in college). The Fresno State defense gives up 28.8% on 3-point attempts (178 of 617) and their opponents are making 72.0% of their foul shots. They allow 13.1 assists and 35.0 rebounds every game, which is ranked 154th and 213th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Air Force

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