Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, 2/28/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Tennessee Volunteers

Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026

Location: Food City Center in Knoxville, TN

TV: ESPN+

Food City Center is where the Tennessee Volunteers (20-8) will attempt to beat the Alabama Crimson Tide (21-7) on Saturday.

The Alabama Crimson Tide stepped onto the hardwood against Mississippi State and walked away with a win by a score of 100-75 in their last contest. Alabama ended the game having earned a 47.9% field goal percentage (34 out of 71) and converted 22 of their 50 3-point shots. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Crimson Tide buried 10 of their 13 tries for a percentage of 76.9%. When talking about grabbing boards, they earned a total of 47 with 15 of them being offensive. They also dished out 23 assists in the matchup in addition to creating 12 turnovers and having 6 steals. Regarding the defense, Alabama allowed the other team to shoot 38.0% from the floor on 27 of 71 shooting. Mississippi State dished out 15 dimes and had 8 steals in the matchup. Additionally, Mississippi State totaled 33 rebounds (10 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Mississippi State finished the game shooting 50.0% when shooting free throws by making 6 of 12 shots. They converted 15 of their 41 tries from long range. When discussing fouls, the Crimson Tide finished with 11 and Mississippi State racked up 14 fouls.

Amari Allen is one player who came through in the game. He finished shooting 80.0% from the floor and also earned 2 assists. He played 26 minutes and grabbed 5 boards. He ended up with 23 points on 8 out of 10 shooting.

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Alabama steps onto the hardwood with a mark of 21-7 for the campaign. They lose possession via turnover 10.0 times per game and as a squad they commit 19.0 fouls per contest. As a unit, Alabama is grabbing 41.5 rebounds per contest and has earned 469 dimes for the year, which ranks 54th in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Crimson Tide are hitting 36.1% on shots from beyond the arc (363 of 1006) and 76.4% from the free throw line. They are averaging 92.9 pts per contest (1st in D-1) while connecting on 46.0% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Crimson Tide are forcing their opponents into 9.4 turnovers every game while drawing 20.3 personal fouls. They relinquish 33.0% from 3-point land and they are ranked 355th in college in PPG allowed (83.6). The Crimson Tide are giving up a field goal percentage of 42.8% (829 of 1,935) and they surrender 40.1 boards per contest as a squad. They are currently ranked 201st in Division 1 in allowing assists to their opponents with 389 surrendered on the season.

The last time they took the court, the Tennessee Volunteers took a defeat with a final score of 73-69 when they faced Missouri. The Volunteers earned 21 defensive boards and 17 offensive rebounds for a total of 38 for this contest. They gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while getting 7 steals in this contest. Missouri earned 13 fouls for the contest which got the Volunteers to the free throw line for a total of 14 attempts. They were able to make 8 of the free throws for a rate of 57.1%. When it comes to shots from distance, Tennessee buried 7 of their 24 attempts (29.2%). When this game wrapped up, the Volunteers finished 27 for 63 from the field which gave them a percentage of 42.9%. The Volunteers permitted Missouri to make 26 out of 55 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.3% for the contest. They finished the game shooting 23.5% from beyond the perimeter via 4 out of 17 and finished the game at 17 out of 22 from the charity stripe (77.3%). In relation to rebounds, Tennessee permitted Missouri to collect 27 in total (6 offensive).

Ja'Kobi Gillespie ended up having an impact for the Volunteers for this game. He converted 8 out of 21 in this game for a rate of 38.1%, and tallied 4 rebounds. He tallied 19 points in his 37 mins on the court and added 6 dimes in the game.

Tennessee has a mark of 20-8 for the year. As an offensive team, the Volunteers are hitting on 46.8% from the field, which ranks 96th in college. Tennessee has scored 2,253 pts for the year (80.5 per game) and they grab 42.8 rebounds per contest. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 17.2 times per game (30th in the nation) and they turn it over 12.4 times per game. The Volunteers commit 17.9 fouls every game and they shoot 69.6% from the charity stripe.

The Volunteers are ranked 63rd in college in points per game surrendered with 69.1. They are forcing their opponents into 11.2 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.8% from the field (33rd in college hoops). The Tennessee defense surrenders 30.2% on 3-point shots (219 of 724) and opponents are converting on 68.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 10.9 dimes and 29.5 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 21st and 9th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tennessee

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