Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction, 2/27/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Texas State Bobcats

Date: Friday, February 27, 2026

Location: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, TX

TV: ESPN+

Strahan Arena at the University Events Center is where the Texas State Bobcats (18-12) will attempt to beat the Appalachian State Mountaineers (19-11) on Friday.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers faced off with Georgia Southern and walked away with a win by a score of 89-74 in their last contest. Appalachian State ended with a 51.0% FG percentage (26 of 51) and converted 8 of their 25 3-pointers. When they shot from the free throw line, the Mountaineers knocked down 29 of their 37 attempts for a percentage of 78.4%. In the matter of pulling down boards, they earned 33 with 8 of them being offensive. They also recorded 15 dimes in this game while forcing 11 turnovers and earning 7 steals. Concerning defending, Appalachian State allowed the other team to go 40.0% from the floor on 24 of 60 shooting. Georgia Southern distributed 8 assists and had 5 steals for this contest. Additionally, Georgia Southern pulled down 24 rebounds (8 offensive, 16 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Georgia Southern walked away from this one shooting 87.5% when shooting free throws by knocking down 14 of 16 attempts. They made 12 of 34 attempts from distance. In reference to fouls, the Mountaineers finished with 13 while Georgia Southern racked up 24 fouls.

Luke Wilson is a guy who was a major contributor for this contest. He finished 100.0% from the field but didn't record a dime. He was on the court for 27 mins played and totaled 10 boards. He accounted for 19 points on 6 out of 6 shooting.

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Appalachian State will play this game with a win-loss mark of 19-11 so far this year. They are giving up possession 9.8 times per contest and as a squad they commit 15.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Appalachian State is grabbing 39.2 rebounds per game and is sitting with 374 assists on the campaign, which has them ranked 230th in college hoops in terms of passing. The Mountaineers are connecting on 31.0% on three-point shots (244 of 787) and 64.0% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 72.5 points per game (267th in the nation) while connecting on 44.4% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Mountaineers are forcing their opponents into 9.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.0 personal fouls. They are 116th in D-1 in allowing assists to their opponents with 355 conceded on the year. The Mountaineers defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 39.4% (684 of 1,736) and they surrender 34.0 rebounds per contest as a squad. They give up 31.3% on shots from downtown and they are 16th in college in points per game allowed (65.6).

When they last played, the Texas State Bobcats took a defeat with a final score of 67-54 when they played Louisiana. The Bobcats were able to corral 18 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards totaling 27 in the game. They also coughed up the ball 15 times, while recording 5 steals for this contest. Louisiana committed 18 fouls for the contest which got the Bobcats to the free throw line for a total of 18 attempts. They were able to convert 14 of the free throw tries for a rate of 77.8%. In reference to shots from beyond the arc, Texas State buried 2 out of their 12 attempts (16.7%). When the final whistle blew, the Bobcats shot 19 out of 51 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.3%. The Bobcats permitted Louisiana to make 22 of their 45 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 48.9% in the matchup. They finished the game shooting 69.2% from downtown by connecting on 9 of 13 and walked away from this one shooting 14 out of 19 from the free throw line (73.7%). When it comes to how they attacked the glass, Texas State allowed Louisiana to grab 26 in total (7 on the offensive side).

DJ Hall ended up being a factor for the Bobcats in the game. He converted 7 out of 14 in this game for a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and had 6 rebounds. He earned 18 points in his 30 minutes of playing time and accounted for 1 assist in the matchup.

Texas State has a win-loss mark of 18-12 for the campaign. The Bobcats are committing 17.7 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 76.0% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 13.3 times per game (231st in the nation) and they cough up possession 12.8 times per game. Texas State has accumulated 2,228 points for the campaign (74.3 per contest) and they average 36.0 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Bobcats are shooting 46.8% from the field, which is 90th in the nation.

The Bobcats on defense are ranked 105th in D-1 in points allowed per contest with 71.1. They have forced 13.1 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 44.5% from the field (204th in Division 1). The Texas State defense concedes 35.4% on shots from behind the 3-point line (222 of 627) and their opponents are connecting on 70.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 10.9 assists and 30.7 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 22nd and 20th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas State

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