Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Troy Trojans Prediction, 1/31/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Troy Trojans

Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026

Location: Trojan Arena in Troy, AL

TV: ESPN+

The Appalachian State Mountaineers (13-9) are hitting the road to Trojan Arena on Saturday where they will go up against the Troy Trojans (15-6).

The Appalachian State Mountaineers took the court against UL Monroe and walked away with a win by a score of 59-43 in their last contest. When it comes to fouls, the Mountaineers finished with 16 while UL Monroe accumulated 13 fouls. They also knocked down 5 out of their 25 attempts from three-point range. UL Monroe finished the game shooting 70.6% from the free throw line by burying 12 of their 17 attempts. Furthermore, UL Monroe totaled 38 boards (8 offensive, 30 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. UL Monroe distributed 4 dimes and had 8 steals in the matchup. In reference to defending, Appalachian State let their opponent shoot 22.0% from the field on 13 out of 59 shooting. They also distributed 14 assists in this matchup as well as forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and getting 7 steals. With respect to pulling down boards, they earned 50 with 13 of them being of the offensive sort. At the free throw line, the Mountaineers buried 7 of their 9 attempts for a percentage of 77.8%. Appalachian State walked away from the game having earned a 32.9% field goal percentage (23 out of 70) and buried 6 of their 39 shots from 3-point land.

Luke Wilson is a guy who played a role in this contest. He ended up scoring 14 points on 6 of 12 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 31 minutes and also pulled down 12 rebounds. He shot 50.0% from the floor and also totaled 2 assists.

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Appalachian State will take the court with a record of 13-9 this season. They are giving up possession 10.0 times per game and as a team are committing 16.3 fouls per game. As a team, Appalachian State is collecting 39.5 boards per contest and has earned 285 assists on the year, which has them ranked 214th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Mountaineers are hitting 30.9% on shots from distance (176 of 569) and 61.4% from the free throw line. They have an average of 72.2 points per game (283rd in the nation) while going 44.7% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Mountaineers are forcing 9.8 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.6 personal fouls. They are ranked 117th in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 264 relinquished for the season. The Mountaineers defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 39.0% (493 of 1,265) and they surrender 34.3 boards per contest as a unit. They surrender 31.2% on 3-point shots and they are 25th in Division 1 in points per game allowed (65.5).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Troy Trojans went home victorious with a score of 83-78 against Georgia Southern. The Trojans pulled down 21 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 33 for this contest. They turned the ball over 13 times, while earning 5 steals for the contest. Georgia Southern committed 17 fouls for the matchup which got the Trojans to the charity stripe for a total of 24 tries. They were able to knock down 18 of them for a rate of 75.0%. Concerning 3-point attempts, Troy knocked down 9 of their 25 attempts (36.0%). When the final whistle was blown, the Trojans shot 28 for 57 from the floor which had them at 49.1%. The Trojans permitted Georgia Southern to knock down 27 of 56 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 48.2% in the matchup. They went 34.4% from 3-point land by hitting 11 of 32 and finished the contest at 13 out of 17 from the charity stripe (76.5%). When discussing cleaning the glass, Troy permitted Georgia Southern to snag 21 overall (6 on the offensive glass).

Victor Valdes ended up being important for the Trojans for the contest. He knocked down 6 of 14 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 42.9%, and added 3 rebounds. He earned 22 points in his 29 minutes on the hardwood and had 3 dimes in this matchup.

Troy has a mark of 15-6 on the season. The Trojans commit 17.5 fouls per game and they go 73.2% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 16.8 times per game (51st in the nation) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 12.5 times per contest. Troy has totaled 1,817 points on the season (86.5 per game) and they average 39.7 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Trojans are connecting on 46.2% from the floor, which ranks 137th in the nation.

The Trojans defensively are ranked 248th in D-1 in points allowed per game with 76.3. They are able to force 14.3 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.4% from the floor (164th in Division 1). The Troy defense gives up 33.4% on 3-point shots (165 of 494) and their opponents are making 68.1% of their shots from the free throw line. They have allowed 13.6 assists and 35.8 boards per contest, which ranks them 203rd and 266th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Appalachian State

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