Arizona State Sun Devils vs Iowa State Cyclones Prediction, 3/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona State Sun Devils vs Iowa State Cyclones

Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, MO

TV: ESPN

The Arizona State Sun Devils (16-15) are hitting the road to T-Mobile Center on Wednesday where they will attempt to defeat the Iowa State Cyclones (25-6) in the Big 12 Tournament.

The Arizona State Sun Devils stepped onto the hardwood against Iowa State and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 86-65 in their last game. Arizona State finished the game with a 46.5% FG percentage (20 out of 43) and made 7 out of their 23 3-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Sun Devils buried 18 of 22 attempts for a rate of 81.8%. With regard to getting rebounds, they compiled 23 with 3 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 13 dimes for the game as well as forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and getting 5 steals. In terms of defending, Arizona State allowed their opponent to shoot 43.9% from the field on 29 out of 66 shooting. Iowa State doled out 18 assists and had 16 steals for the matchup. In addition, Iowa State snagged 29 boards (9 offensive, 20 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Iowa State finished shooting 77.3% from the charity stripe by converting 17 of 22 shots. They also converted 11 out of their 29 shots from beyond the perimeter. Regarding fouls, the Sun Devils ended up with 19 and Iowa State racked up 18 fouls.

Massamba Diop is someone who was a contributor for the game. He finished 50.0% from the field but had no assists when the time ran out. He saw the court for 28 minutes and also grabbed 3 boards. He accounted for 12 points on 2 out of 4 shooting.

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Arizona State comes into this game with a mark of 16-15 this season. They are averaging 77.2 points per outing (149th in D-1) while going 44.6% from the field. The Sun Devils are connecting on 34.1% on three-point attempts (236 of 692) and 75.6% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Arizona State is grabbing 33.3 rebounds per game and has 435 assists for the season, which ranks 190th in college hoops in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 11.6 times per contest and as a team they commit 17.2 personal fouls every game.

When they are on defense, the Sun Devils are forcing 13.2 turnovers every game while drawing 20.0 personal fouls. They are conceding 35.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 296th in college in PPG from their opponents (77.9). The Sun Devils are giving up a FG percentage of 45.2% (838 of 1,852) and they concede 36.3 boards per game as a team. They are ranked 291st in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 468 surrendered so far this year.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Iowa State Cyclones got the victory with a final of 86-65 against Arizona State. The Cyclones collected 20 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards for a total of 29 in this game. They also gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while recording 16 steals for this contest. Arizona State committed 19 fouls for the game which got the Cyclones to the charity stripe for a total of 22 shots. They were able to bury 17 of those for a rate of 77.3%. Pertaining to 3-point attempts, Iowa State buried 11 out of their 29 attempts (37.9%). In all, the Cyclones walked away from this one shooting 29 for 66 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 43.9%. The Cyclones allowed Arizona State to bury 20 of 43 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 46.5% in the matchup. They finished 30.4% from three-point range by connecting on 7 out of 23 and finished the contest at 18 of 22 at the free throw line (81.8%). Concerning how they attacked the glass, Iowa State permitted Arizona State to pull down 23 in total (3 offensive).

Joshua Jefferson ended up being a major contributor for the Cyclones in the matchup. He had 16 points in his 30 minutes on the court and had 3 dimes for this game. He made 5 out of 12 for this contest giving him a rate of 41.7%, and had 7 rebounds.

Iowa State has a mark of 25-6 for the campaign. On the offensive side of the court, the Cyclones are connecting on 48.8% from the floor, which is 31st in D-1. Iowa State has totaled 2,535 pts for the year (81.8 per contest) and they grab 35.5 boards per contest. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 17.4 times per game (20th in D-1) and they turn it over 10.3 times per game. The Cyclones commit 16.1 fouls per game and they shoot 68.0% from the charity stripe.

The Iowa State defense gives up 32.5% on 3-point attempts (238 of 733) and their opposition makes 71.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 12.8 dimes and 31.0 boards per contest, which is 131st and 25th in those categories. The Cyclones on the defensive end are ranked 14th in college in PPG given up with 65.7. They are forcing 15.3 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.8% from the floor (96th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Iowa State

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