Arkansas Razorbacks vs Florida Gators Prediction, 2/28/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Florida Gators

Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026

Location: Stephen C. O'Connell Center in Gainesville, FL

TV: ESPN+

The Arkansas Razorbacks (21-7) are on their way to Stephen C. O'Connell Center on Saturday where they will play the Florida Gators (22-6).

The Arkansas Razorbacks took the court against Texas A&M and earned the victory with a final of 99-84 in their last contest. Arkansas walked away from the game with a 50.8% field goal percentage (33 of 65) and converted 4 of their 17 3-point shots. When they shot from the free throw line, the Razorbacks buried 29 of 33 attempts for a rate of 87.9%. In relation to grabbing boards, they compiled 32 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 18 assists in this matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and earning 9 steals. In terms of defending, Arkansas let their opponent shoot 52.6% from the floor on 30 of 57 shooting. Texas A&M distributed 18 dimes and had 3 steals for this game. On top of that, Texas A&M had 25 rebounds (4 offensive, 21 defensive), but didn't have a block. Texas A&M finished the contest at 69.6% at the charity stripe by knocking down 16 of their 23 tries. They converted 8 of 25 tries from downtown. When discussing fouls, the Razorbacks finished with 17 while Texas A&M accumulated 22 fouls.

Billy Richmond III is one player who was a major contributor in the game. He shot 61.5% from the floor and also totaled 3 assists. He played 34 mins and totaled 2 rebounds. He totaled 23 points on 8 of 13 shooting.

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Arkansas steps onto the court with a win-loss record of 21-7 for the campaign. They average 90.3 points per outing (4th in the nation) while hitting 50.5% from the field. The Razorbacks are shooting 37.5% on 3-point shots (231 of 616) and 75.4% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Arkansas is pulling down 35.9 rebounds per game and is sitting with 485 dimes on the campaign, which is 36th in Division 1 in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 8.9 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 16.7 fouls every game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Razorbacks have forced 11.9 turnovers per game while drawing 18.0 fouls. They concede 31.2% on 3-point shots and they are 305th in D-1 in PPG allowed (78.5). The Razorbacks defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 44.8% (794 of 1,774) and they concede 34.3 rebounds per game as a unit. They are ranked 249th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 407 relinquished so far this season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Florida Gators took home the win by a final score of 84-71 against Texas. Regarding how they rebounded, Florida allowed Texas to pull down 26 overall (11 on the offensive glass). They went 38.5% from beyond the perimeter by connecting on 5 out of 13 and ended up going 16 of 21 at the free throw line (76.2%). The Gators allowed Texas to make 25 out of their 58 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 43.1% for this contest. When all was said and done, the Gators finished shooting 32 out of 54 from the floor which had them sitting at 59.3%. Regarding shots from 3-point land, Florida converted 8 out of 18 attempts (44.4%). They were able to convert 12 of the free throws for a rate of 80.0%. Texas committed 13 personal fouls for the game which took the Gators to the free throw line for 15 attempts. They also turned it over 9 times, while recording 8 steals for the game. The Gators were able to collect 19 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards totaling 26 for this game.

Alex Condon ended up being important for the Gators for this game. He made 10 out of 12 in this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 83.3%, and earned 4 rebounds. He earned 23 points in his 34 mins on the court and totaled 3 assists for this contest.

Florida has a win-loss mark of 22-6 for the season. In terms of offensive execution, the Gators are hitting on 47.6% from the field, which is 49th in college hoops. Florida has 2,416 pts so far this year (86.3 per contest) and they pull in 45.2 rebounds per contest. They are getting an assist 16.5 times per contest (46th in college) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.0 times per contest. The Gators have committed 17.7 fouls per contest while shooting 71.1% from the charity stripe.

The Florida defense gives up 32.1% on shots from behind the 3-point line (185 of 577) and their opponents are converting on 72.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 10.6 dimes and 31.1 boards per contest, which has them ranked 11th and 26th in those defensive categories. The Gators on the defensive end are ranked 105th in the nation in points given up per game with 71.2. They have forced 11.3 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.5% from the field (27th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arkansas

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