Arkansas Razorbacks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 2/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN+

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-11) will compete against the Arkansas Razorbacks (16-6) at Humphrey Coliseum on Saturday.

The Arkansas Razorbacks faced Kentucky and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 85-77 in their last game. Concerning personal fouls, the Razorbacks walked away with 24 while Kentucky totaled 21 personal fouls. They buried 6 of 13 shots from long range. Kentucky finished the game shooting 63.3% at the charity stripe by knocking down 19 of 30 attempts. On top of that, Kentucky snagged 33 boards (10 offensive, 23 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Kentucky doled out 11 assists and had but wasn't able to record a steal. In relation to defending, Arkansas allowed the other team to go 53.6% from the floor on 30 out of 56 shooting. They also recorded 10 assists for the contest as well as forcing the other team into 4 turnovers and earning 2 steals. With respect to rebounding, they collected a total of 21 with 5 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Razorbacks converted 16 of their 26 attempts for a rate of 61.5%. Arkansas finished the game having earned a 49.2% FG percentage (29 of 59) and converted 3 out of their 14 shots from downtown.

Darius Acuff Jr. is someone who was important for this contest. He accounted for 22 points on 8 out of 20 shooting. He played for 39 mins played and totaled 2 rebounds. He walked away from this one shooting 40.0% from the field and totaled 3 assists.

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Arkansas will take the court with a mark of 16-6 for the year. They are turning it over 9.4 times per game and as a team they commit 16.4 fouls per game. As a unit, Arkansas is collecting 36.3 boards per contest and has earned 381 assists on the campaign, which ranks 54th in college hoops in terms of passing. The Razorbacks are shooting 37.4% on shots from distance (187 of 500) and 74.1% from the charity stripe. They average 88.7 pts per contest (13th in D-1) while connecting on 49.8% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Razorbacks are able to force 11.9 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.2 fouls. They are relinquishing 31.8% on shots from distance and they rank 278th in college in points per game allowed (77.6). The Razorbacks defense is allowing a FG percentage of 44.2% (617 of 1,395) and they concede 34.2 boards per contest as a group. They rank 226th in D-1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 318 surrendered on the campaign.

For their last game, the Mississippi State Bulldogs took a defeat with a final score of 84-79 when they played Missouri. The Bulldogs were able to collect 23 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 33 in this contest. They turned it over 13 times, while earning 6 steals in this game. Missouri earned 16 personal fouls for the contest which got the Bulldogs to the free throw line for 18 attempts. They were able to bury 12 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 66.7%. In reference to shots from downtown, Mississippi State made 11 of 28 tries (39.3%). Overall, the Bulldogs went 28 out of 65 from the field which had them sitting at 43.1%. The Bulldogs permitted Missouri to bury 25 out of their 58 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 43.1% in the game. They finished 34.6% from 3-point land by going 9 out of 26 and finished the contest at 25 out of 33 from the free throw line (75.8%). In the matter of cleaning the glass, Mississippi State allowed Missouri to get 36 overall (12 offensive).

Jayden Epps ended up being a major contributor for the Bulldogs in this contest. He earned 23 points in his 29 mins of playing time and totaled 4 assists for the matchup. He converted 9 out of 20 for this game for a field goal rate of 45.0%, and added 2 rebounds.

Mississippi State has a record of 11-11 so far this year. When it comes to offense, the Bulldogs are shooting 44.2% from the floor, which ranks 254th in college hoops. Mississippi State has accounted for 1,712 pts on the season (77.8 per contest) and they pull in 40.5 rebounds per contest. They are earning an assist 12.3 times per game (306th in the country) and they turn it over 11.8 times per game. The Bulldogs have committed 16.1 fouls per game while shooting 68.7% from the charity stripe.

The Mississippi State defense concedes 30.2% on 3-point attempts (168 of 557) and opponents are converting on 74.1% of their free throw attempts. They concede 13.3 dimes and 37.8 boards every game, which is 176th and 335th in college hoops. The Bulldogs on the defensive end are ranked 295th in college in PPG allowed with 78.2. They are forcing their opponents into 9.5 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 42.6% from the floor (104th in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Arkansas

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