Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, 11/6/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Date: Friday, November 6, 2026

Location: Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, AL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Arkansas State (+25.5)

Coleman Coliseum is where the Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0) will try to beat the Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-0) on Friday. Alabama is 25.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 173.5.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves faced Toledo and took home the win by a score of 71-70 in their last contest. Arkansas State wrapped up the contest having earned a 35.7% field goal percentage (25 out of 70) and knocked down 11 of their 37 three-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Red Wolves buried 10 of their 23 shots for a percentage of 43.5%. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they collected 44 with 17 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 15 assists for the contest while creating 15 turnovers and having 12 steals. In relation to the defense, Arkansas State allowed their opponent to shoot 39.7% from the floor on 29 of 73 shooting. Toledo distributed 21 dimes and had 7 steals for this contest. On top of that, Toledo snagged 44 boards (14 offensive, 30 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Toledo walked away from this one shooting 75.0% when shooting free throws by burying 6 of their 8 attempts. They knocked down 6 of their 27 tries from downtown. Regarding fouls, the Red Wolves ended up with 15 and Toledo accumulated 18 fouls.

Tameron Ferguson is one player who was a contributor in this matchup. He ended up scoring 20 points on 8 out of 10 shooting. He saw the court for 32 minutes played and also snagged 7 rebounds. He ended up going 80.0% from the field and totaled 3 assists.

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Arkansas State steps onto the court with a record of 1-0 so far this year. They turn it over 10.0 times per game and as a unit they commit 15.0 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Arkansas State is collecting 46.0 rebounds per game and has earned 15 dimes for the season, which ranks 180th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. The Red Wolves are hitting 29.7% on three-point attempts (11 of 37) and 43.5% from the free throw line. They are averaging 71.0 points per outing (244th in Division 1) while connecting on 35.7% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Red Wolves are forcing 16.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.0 fouls. They rank 330th in D-1 in giving up assists with 21 surrendered on the season. The Red Wolves are giving up a FG percentage of 39.7% (29 of 73) and they surrender 50.0 boards per contest as a squad. They are conceding 22.2% from beyond the arc and they are 184th in college in points per game allowed (70.0).

When they last stepped on the court, the Alabama Crimson Tide got the victory with a final of 96-74 when they faced Sam Houston. The Crimson Tide were able to corral 28 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 40 for the game. They also gave up possession of the ball 10 times, while earning 17 steals in this game. Sam Houston committed 16 fouls in this matchup which got the Crimson Tide to the charity stripe for a total of 19 shots. They were able to knock down 14 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 73.7%. When it comes to shots from beyond the perimeter, Alabama converted 10 out of 31 tries (32.3%). Overall, the Crimson Tide went 36 out of 75 from the field which had them sitting at 48.0%. The Crimson Tide allowed Sam Houston to bury 25 of their 65 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.5% for the contest. They went 45.5% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 15 out of 33 and finished the contest at 9 out of 16 from the free throw line (56.3%). In reference to rebounds, Alabama allowed Sam Houston to snag 37 in all (12 offensive).

London Jemison was important for the Crimson Tide for the contest. He knocked down 6 of 7 in this game for a rate of 85.7%, and earned 3 rebounds. He earned 15 points in his 20 minutes on the court and totaled 1 assist in this matchup.

Alabama has a mark of 1-0 on the year. In terms of offensive execution, the Crimson Tide are shooting 48.0% from the field, which is ranked 145th in the country. Alabama has accounted for 96 pts on the season and they grab 42.0 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 17.0 times per contest (121st in D-1) and they are turning it over 10.0 times per contest. The Crimson Tide are responsible for committing 16.0 fouls per contest and they go 73.7% from the charity stripe.

The Crimson Tide defensively are ranked 217th in college in points per game surrendered with 74.0. They are forcing 23.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 38.5% from the field (145th in college). The Alabama defense gives up 45.5% on 3-point attempts (15 of 33) and opponents are connecting on 56.3% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 17.0 assists and 45.0 rebounds every game, which ranks 299th and 332nd in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arkansas State (+25.5)

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