Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction, 2/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UL Monroe Warhawks

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: Fant-Ewing Coliseum in Monroe, LA

TV: ESPN+

Fant-Ewing Coliseum is the location where the UL Monroe Warhawks (4-24) will attempt to beat the Arkansas State Red Wolves (16-11) on Saturday.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves faced South Alabama and ended up losing by a score of 92-88 in their last game. Arkansas State wrapped up the game having earned a 40.0% FG percentage (26 out of 65) and made 16 of their 41 shots from 3-point land. From the charity stripe, the Red Wolves made 20 of their 30 tries for a rate of 66.7%. In terms of pulling down boards, they compiled 54 with 21 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 22 assists in this contest while forcing the other team into 5 turnovers and earning 5 steals. Concerning the defense, Arkansas State let their opponent shoot 38.9% from the field on 28 of 72 shooting. South Alabama recorded 16 dimes and had 12 steals for the contest. Furthermore, South Alabama grabbed 34 rebounds (11 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. South Alabama shot 76.9% when shooting free throws by knocking down 20 of 26 attempts. They made 16 of their 36 tries from beyond the arc. Regarding fouls, the Red Wolves finished with 19 and South Alabama racked up 19 fouls.

Christian Harmon is one guy who was a major factor in the matchup. He recorded 33 points on 10 out of 24 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 43 minutes played and also collected 8 rebounds. He ended up going 41.7% from the field and recorded 2 dimes.

Get all of our NCAA Picks Today

Arkansas State enters this game with a mark of 16-11 so far this season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 14.2 times per contest and as a unit they commit 18.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Arkansas State is snagging 41.0 boards per game and has racked up 431 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 61st in the nation in terms of passing. The Red Wolves are hitting 33.4% on shots from 3-point land (255 of 764) and 74.1% from the free throw line. They have an average of 82.5 points per game (56th in the country) while hitting 44.9% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Red Wolves have forced 11.8 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.6 fouls. They rank 219th in Division 1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 365 relinquished this year. The Red Wolves are giving up a shooting percentage of 44.3% (727 of 1,640) and they concede 33.3 boards per game as a squad. They are relinquishing 32.3% from 3-point land while they are 284th in college in PPG from their opponents (77.5).

In their last game, the UL Monroe Warhawks took a loss by a final score of 77-76 when they played Troy. The Warhawks collected 22 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 30 in this contest. They coughed up the ball 4 times, while getting 6 steals for this game. Troy earned 22 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Warhawks to the charity stripe for 23 tries. They were able to knock down 17 of the free throws for a percentage of 73.9%. In regard to three-point attempts, UL Monroe made 5 of 25 tries (20.0%). At the conclusion of this game, the Warhawks shot 27 for 66 from the floor which had them at 40.9%. The Warhawks allowed Troy to knock down 26 out of their 58 tries from the field which left them shooting 44.8% in this matchup. They shot 27.6% from downtown by going 8 of 29 and ended up going 17 of 26 at the free throw line (65.4%). When discussing team rebounding, UL Monroe allowed Troy to collect 38 in total (9 on the offensive side).

Krystian Lewis was important for the Warhawks for the contest. He totaled 19 points in his 36 minutes on the hardwood and accumulated 6 assists for the matchup. He knocked down 7 out of 16 for the contest for a field goal rate of 43.8%, and tallied 6 rebounds.

UL Monroe has a record of 4-24 this year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Warhawks are hitting on 41.5% from the floor, which is 337th in the nation. UL Monroe has accounted for 2,025 pts for the campaign (72.3 per contest) and they grab 32.6 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 12.0 times per game (312th in the nation) and they are giving up possession 12.5 times per game. The Warhawks commit 14.0 fouls every game while shooting 72.6% from the charity stripe.

The UL Monroe defense concedes 34.3% on 3-pointers (251 of 731) and opponents are converting on 69.9% of their foul shots. They concede 17.4 assists and 40.3 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks 358th and 360th in college hoops. The Warhawks on the defensive side of the court are 353rd in Division 1 in PPG given up with 83.1. They are forcing their opponents into 11.5 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 48.0% from the floor (346th in Division 1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arkansas State

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.