Austin Peay Governors vs Jacksonville Dolphins Prediction, 2/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Austin Peay Governors vs Jacksonville Dolphins

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: Swisher Gymnasium in Jacksonville, FL

TV: ESPN+

The Austin Peay Governors (19-6) are en route to Swisher Gymnasium on Saturday where they will take on the Jacksonville Dolphins (10-18).

The Austin Peay Governors faced Bellarmine and earned the victory with a final of 90-70 in their last contest. Austin Peay wrapped up the game with a 58.3% field goal percentage (28 of 48) and knocked down 10 of their 19 3-pointers. From the free throw line, the Governors knocked down 24 of 28 tries for a percentage of 85.7%. In reference to hauling in boards, they compiled a total of 26 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 22 dimes in the game as well as forcing 5 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In relation to the defense, Austin Peay allowed the other team to shoot 45.5% from the field on 25 of 55 shooting. Bellarmine totaled 12 assists and had 3 steals in this matchup. Moreover, Bellarmine pulled down 20 boards (7 offensive, 13 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Bellarmine finished the game at 91.7% at the free throw line by burying 11 of their 12 tries. They also converted 9 out of their 20 tries from beyond the arc. When it comes to fouls, the Governors walked away with 13 and Bellarmine accounted for 24 fouls.

Collin Parker is a player who was a factor in the game. He recorded 22 points on 8 out of 14 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 36 mins played and also collected 7 rebounds. He finished shooting 57.1% from the floor and recorded 4 assists.

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Austin Peay comes into this contest with a mark of 19-6 on the year. They currently have an average of 82.0 pts per contest (58th in the nation) while connecting on 47.0% from the field. The Governors are hitting 36.7% on shots from beyond the arc (221 of 603) and 75.0% from the free throw line. As a unit, Austin Peay is pulling down 35.6 rebounds per game and has accumulated 407 assists for the campaign, which is 101st in the country in terms of passing. They turn it over 10.9 times per game and as a team are committing 16.7 personal fouls per contest.

On the defensive end, the Governors are able to force 14.7 turnovers every game while drawing 17.6 personal fouls. They are ranked 149th in college in allowing assists to their opponents with 346 surrendered for the year. The Governors defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 43.7% (636 of 1,454) and they concede 35.0 boards per game as a group. They give up 31.7% from 3-point land and they are ranked 108th in college hoops in PPG allowed (71.1).

When they last stepped on the court, the Jacksonville Dolphins took a defeat with a final score of 86-84 when they played Florida Gulf Coast. The Dolphins collected 15 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive rebounds for a total of 20 for this game. They also turned it over 8 times, while recording 4 steals in the matchup. Florida Gulf Coast earned 23 personal fouls in the game which got the Dolphins to the charity stripe for 26 attempts. They were able to convert 14 of the free throws for a percentage of 53.8%. With respect to shots from beyond the arc, Jacksonville converted 6 of 15 attempts (40.0%). When this game wrapped up, the Dolphins finished the game shooting 32 for 52 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 61.5%. The Dolphins permitted Florida Gulf Coast to knock down 31 of their 56 attempts from the field which left them with a rate of 55.4% in the matchup. They finished 23.1% from distance by going 3 of 13 and ended up shooting 21 out of 28 at the charity stripe (75.0%). When discussing rebounds, Jacksonville permitted Florida Gulf Coast to get 29 in all (11 on the offensive glass).

Hayden Wood was important for the Dolphins for the game. He earned 23 points in his 37 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 4 assists for the contest. He made 9 out of 13 for this contest for a rate of 69.2%, and had 1 rebound.

Jacksonville has a mark of 10-18 on the campaign. The Dolphins have committed 19.3 fouls per game and they connect on 70.0% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 12.0 times per contest (319th in D-1) and they lose possession via turnover 11.7 times per game. Jacksonville has accounted for 2,025 points on the season (72.3 per game) and they average 33.2 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Dolphins are shooting 45.5% from the floor, which is ranked 161st in the country.

The Dolphins on the defensive end are ranked 170th in the nation in points given up per game with 73.4. They are able to force 10.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 47.0% from the field (319th in D-1). The Jacksonville defense allows 34.7% on shots from 3-point land (185 of 533) and opponents are connecting on 70.5% of their free throw shots. They relinquish 12.9 dimes and 31.4 total boards per game, which is 143rd and 32nd in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Austin Peay

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