Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction, 2/3/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ball State Cardinals vs Bowling Green Falcons

Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026

Location: Stroh Center in Bowling Green, OH

TV: ESPN+

Stroh Center is where the Bowling Green Falcons (13-8) will attempt to beat the Ball State Cardinals (7-13) on Tuesday.

The Ball State Cardinals stepped onto the hardwood against Toledo and took a loss by a score of 73-55 in their last contest. Ball State finished the game having earned a 31.4% FG percentage (16 out of 51) and buried 4 of their 20 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Cardinals converted 19 of 27 tries for a percentage of 70.4%. Regarding pulling down rebounds, they collected a total of 31 with 10 of them being offensive. They also doled out 7 assists in the matchup while forcing 13 turnovers and having 6 steals. When it comes to defending, Ball State let their opponent shoot 49.1% from the floor on 27 out of 55 shooting. Toledo distributed 14 dimes and had 9 steals for this contest. Moreover, Toledo collected 30 rebounds (4 offensive, 26 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Toledo ended up shooting 85.7% at the charity stripe by knocking down 12 of their 14 attempts. They converted 7 out of their 22 tries from 3-point land. In relation to fouls, the Cardinals left the arena with 13 while Toledo finished the game with 16 fouls.

Kayden Fish is one player who came through for the game. He totaled 14 points on 5 of 12 shooting. He played 15 minutes and grabbed 5 rebounds. He went 41.7% from the field but had no dimes when the game ended.

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Ball State heads into this game with a mark of 7-13 on the season. They are turning it over 10.5 times per game and as a team they commit 15.7 fouls per game. As a unit, Ball State is pulling in 31.7 boards per contest and has accounted for 253 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 324th in the nation in terms of passing. The Cardinals are shooting 31.3% on shots from beyond the arc (140 of 448) and 69.9% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 67.9 pts per contest (332nd in the country) while shooting 42.3% from the floor.

Defensively, the Cardinals are able to force 13.2 turnovers every game and they draw 16.0 fouls. They are surrendering 34.6% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 77th in the country in points per game allowed (69.8). The Cardinals are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.2% (495 of 1,094) and they surrender 35.6 boards per game as a group. They are currently ranked 131st in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 272 relinquished on the season.

When they last played, the Bowling Green Falcons walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 62-59 against Central Michigan. With respect to how they rebounded, Bowling Green permitted Central Michigan to get 39 in total (10 offensive). They went 18.8% from distance by connecting on 3 out of 16 and walked away from this one shooting 7 out of 15 at the free throw line (46.7%). The Falcons allowed Central Michigan to make 26 of their 60 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 43.3% for the contest. When the final whistle blew, the Falcons shot 24 out of 67 from the field which gave them a percentage of 35.8%. In relation to shots from 3-point land, Bowling Green buried 4 of 16 attempts (25.0%). They were able to bury 7 of them for a rate of 58.3%. Central Michigan earned 15 fouls for this contest which got the Falcons to the charity stripe for 12 attempts. They also turned it over 9 times, while recording 10 steals in the game. The Falcons snagged 26 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 34 in this matchup.

Javontae Campbell ended up having an impact for the Falcons for this game. He totaled 21 points in his 39 mins of playing time and accumulated 4 assists for the contest. He made 8 out of 21 for the matchup giving him a rate of 38.1%, and accounted for 2 rebounds.

Bowling Green has a win-loss mark of 13-8 so far this year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Falcons are hitting on 49.5% from the floor, which has them ranked 25th in Division 1. Bowling Green has 1,803 pts so far this season (85.9 per game) and they collect 36.0 boards per contest. Their rate of earning assists is at 15.7 times per contest (92nd in the nation) and they are turning it over 11.6 times per contest. The Falcons are committing 17.7 personal fouls per contest and they go 73.7% from the free throw line.

The Bowling Green defense gives up 34.3% on shots from behind the 3-point line (174 of 508) and their opponents are connecting on 74.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 13.2 dimes and 32.2 rebounds every game, which is ranked 172nd and 64th in Division 1. The Falcons on the defensive side of the court are 120th in D-1 in PPG allowed with 71.3. They are forcing 16.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 43.4% from the field (161st in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Bowling Green

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