Baylor Bears vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction, 1/28/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baylor Bears vs Cincinnati Bearcats

Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Location: Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FS1

Fifth Third Arena is where the Cincinnati Bearcats (10-10) will try to defeat the Baylor Bears (11-8) on Wednesday.

The Baylor Bears stepped onto the hardwood against TCU and went home with a loss by a final score of 97-90 in their last contest. Baylor wrapped up the contest with a 50.0% FG percentage (28 of 56) and knocked down 8 out of their 26 three-point shots. At the free throw line, the Bears made 26 of their 36 tries for a rate of 72.2%. In the matter of getting rebounds, they earned 33 with 11 of them being offensive. They also recorded 15 assists in the game in addition to forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and earning 7 steals. Pertaining to the defense, Baylor allowed 51.9% from the floor on 28 out of 54 shooting. TCU doled out 11 dimes and had 8 steals in this matchup. Furthermore, TCU grabbed 21 rebounds (5 offensive, 16 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. TCU finished the contest at 81.4% from the charity stripe by knocking down 35 of their 43 shots. They also made 6 of their 13 attempts from three-point range. In the matter of fouls, the Bears finished with 28 and TCU finished the game with 26 fouls.

Isaac Williams is one guy who was a contributor in this contest. He went 55.6% from the field and also totaled 2 dimes. He was on the court for 29 minutes and also snagged 4 boards. He finished with 21 points on 5 of 9 shooting.

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Baylor comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 11-8 for the year. They are turning it over 11.9 times per game and as a team they are committing 16.2 fouls per game. As a team, Baylor is snagging 39.5 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 315 assists so far this season, which ranks 107th in college hoops in terms of passing. The Bears are connecting on 36.2% on shots from downtown (163 of 450) and 72.0% from the free throw line. They average 86.5 points per contest (22nd in D-1) while connecting on 48.9% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Bears are able to force 11.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.7 personal fouls. They are 97th in Division 1 in giving up assists with 251 surrendered for the year. The Bears are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.7% (531 of 1,215) and they surrender 32.8 boards per game as a group. They are surrendering 35.2% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 274th in Division 1 in opponents points per game (77.0).

For their last game, the Cincinnati Bearcats went home defeated by a final of 82-68 when they played Arizona State. In reference to rebounding, Cincinnati allowed Arizona State to grab 28 in all (6 on the offensive side). They went 46.4% from 3-point land by shooting 13 out of 28 and finished the game at 15 of 21 from the free throw line (71.4%). The Bearcats allowed Arizona State to convert 27 out of their 57 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 47.4% in this matchup. Overall, the Bearcats shot 27 for 60 from the field which gave them a rate of 45.0%. In terms of shooting from distance, Cincinnati buried 4 of 17 attempts (23.5%). They were able to make 10 of the free throws for a clip of 66.7%. Arizona State had 15 fouls in the game which took the Bearcats to the charity stripe for a total of 15 tries. They turned it over 14 times, while getting 8 steals in this contest. The Bearcats snagged 23 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards totaling 33 in the matchup.

Baba Miller was important for the Bearcats in this contest. He buried 8 out of 15 for this game for a rate of 53.3%, and tallied 9 rebounds. He scored 23 points in his 34 minutes of playing time and had 4 dimes in the matchup.

Cincinnati has a win-loss mark of 10-10 this year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Bearcats are shooting 42.3% from the floor, which is 315th in the country. Cincinnati has totaled 1,452 points so far this season (72.6 per game) and they grab 37.7 rebounds per contest. Their rate of earning assists is at 16.9 times per game (48th in the nation) and they turn the ball over 12.4 times per contest. The Bearcats are committing 16.7 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 65.7% from the free throw line.

The Cincinnati defense surrenders 33.0% on shots from beyond the arc (154 of 467) and their opponents are knocking down 69.8% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 13.4 assists and 35.0 rebounds per game, which is 182nd and 208th in those categories. The Bearcats on defense are ranked 44th in the country in points allowed per game with 67.5. They are forcing their opponents into 14.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 41.4% from the floor (61st in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baylor

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