Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, 1/3/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs

Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026

Location: Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, TX

TV: ESPN2

The Baylor Bears (10-2) are hitting the road to Schollmaier Arena on Saturday where they will try to defeat the TCU Horned Frogs (10-3).

The Baylor Bears faced Arlington Baptist and earned the victory with a final of 124-61 in their last game. Concerning personal fouls, the Bears walked away with 12 and Arlington Baptist finished the game with 16 personal fouls. They also knocked down 7 out of their 25 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Arlington Baptist shot 76.9% from the free throw line by making 10 of 13 tries. Additionally, Arlington Baptist collected 15 rebounds (5 offensive, 10 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Arlington Baptist dished out 14 assists and had 10 steals in this matchup. With respect to defending, Baylor allowed the other team to shoot 31.4% from the floor on 22 out of 70 shooting. They also dished out 33 assists in this matchup while creating 15 turnovers and getting 11 steals. With respect to getting rebounds, they collected 53 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Bears knocked down 19 of 26 attempts for a percentage of 73.1%. Baylor ended the contest having earned a 73.5% field goal percentage (50 out of 68) and knocked down 5 of 14 three-point shots.

Tounde Yessoufou is a guy who played a role in the game. He accounted for 28 points on 12 of 15 shooting. He played for 30 minutes played and also collected 7 boards. He finished the game shooting 80.0% from the field and also recorded 5 assists.

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Baylor heads into this contest with a record of 10-2 on the campaign. They are averaging 95.6 pts per game (5th in college hoops) while going 52.1% from the floor. The Bears are hitting 37.9% on shots from distance (107 of 282) and 75.5% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Baylor is grabbing 41.5 rebounds per game and has racked up 226 assists for the campaign, which has them ranked 77th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. They cough up possession 11.2 times per contest and as a group they are committing 15.7 fouls every game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Bears are able to force 12.5 turnovers per game and they draw 20.5 personal fouls. They currently rank 56th in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 151 conceded so far this season. The Bears defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 42.3% (329 of 778) and they relinquish 30.9 boards per contest as a unit. They are giving up 32.6% on shots from distance and they rank 224th in college in points per game allowed (74.9).

When they last played, the TCU Horned Frogs went home victorious with a score of 115-64 when they faced Jackson State. In reference to rebounding, TCU permitted Jackson State to snag 22 overall (8 on the offensive side). They went 38.1% from beyond the arc by shooting 8 out of 21 and finished the contest at 10 out of 15 at the charity stripe (66.7%). The Horned Frogs permitted Jackson State to convert 23 out of their 59 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 39.0% in the matchup. Overall, the Horned Frogs went 45 out of 69 from the field which had them shooting 65.2%. In regard to shooting from beyond the arc, TCU buried 13 of 27 attempts (48.1%). They were able to bury 12 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 100.0%. Jackson State was called for 11 fouls in the game which got the Horned Frogs to the charity stripe for a total of 12 tries. They coughed it up 8 times, while getting 12 steals in the game. The Horned Frogs were able to collect 24 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards for a total of 31 for this game.

David Punch ended up having an impact for the Horned Frogs in this game. He had 20 points in his 21 minutes on the hardwood and accumulated 3 dimes for the game. He made 8 out of 12 in this game giving him a rate of 66.7%, and added 5 rebounds.

TCU has a mark of 10-3 this year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Horned Frogs are hitting on 46.8% from the field, which has them ranked 125th in the nation. TCU has accumulated 1,044 pts this year (80.3 per contest) and they pull in 35.8 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 16.8 times per game (76th in Division 1) and they cough up possession 11.1 times per contest. The Horned Frogs are committing 15.8 personal fouls per game and they hit 73.8% from the free throw line.

The Horned Frogs on the defensive side of the court are 23rd in the nation in points per game surrendered with 64.7. They have forced 15.5 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 41.5% from the field (89th in college hoops). The TCU defense gives up 33.5% on 3-point attempts (95 of 284) and their opponents are knocking down 69.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They relinquish 14.7 dimes and 30.9 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 271st and 39th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baylor

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