Baylor Bears vs UCF Knights Prediction, 2/28/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baylor Bears vs UCF Knights

Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026

Location: Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, FL

TV: FS1

The Baylor Bears (14-14) are on their way to Addition Financial Arena on Saturday where they will try to defeat the UCF Knights (20-7).

The Baylor Bears faced off with Arizona and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 87-80 in their last game. With respect to fouls, the Bears walked away with 17 while Arizona finished the game with 17 fouls. They knocked down 9 of their 21 tries from distance. Arizona finished the game shooting 78.3% at the charity stripe by making 18 of their 23 shots. Additionally, Arizona collected 37 boards (13 offensive, 24 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Arizona distributed 17 dimes and had 2 steals in the matchup. Pertaining to defending, Baylor allowed the other team to shoot 49.2% from the floor on 30 of 61 shooting. They also doled out 12 assists in the game as well as forcing 6 turnovers and having 2 steals. When discussing hauling in rebounds, they earned 30 with 9 of them being of the offensive sort. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Bears buried 15 of their 21 shots for a percentage of 71.4%. Baylor ended with a 49.2% field goal percentage (29 out of 59) and converted 7 of 22 shots from distance.

Cameron Carr is a guy who was a major contributor for this game. He accumulated 26 points on 11 out of 19 shooting. He was on the court for 37 mins played and totaled 4 rebounds. He finished 57.9% from the field and recorded 3 assists.

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Baylor heads into this contest with a mark of 14-14 on the season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 11.7 times per contest and as a team they commit 16.4 fouls per game. As a unit, Baylor is collecting 37.3 boards per contest and has totaled 436 dimes this season, which has them ranked 107th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. The Bears are hitting 34.7% on 3-pointers (230 of 663) and 72.3% from the free throw line. They have an average of 82.5 points per game (52nd in D-1) while shooting 47.9% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Bears are forcing their opponents into 11.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.6 fouls. They are 167th in the country in giving up assists to the opposition with 378 relinquished this season. The Bears defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 44.9% (777 of 1,731) and they surrender 32.7 rebounds per game as a unit. They surrender 34.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 256th in D-1 in opponents PPG (76.7).

In their last game, the UCF Knights walked away with a victory by a final of 97-84 when they played BYU. Concerning cleaning up the glass, UCF allowed BYU to grab 32 in total (11 on the offensive side). They finished 33.3% from beyond the arc by going 9 out of 27 and ended up going 17 of 20 from the free throw line (85.0%). The Knights permitted BYU to make 29 out of 71 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 40.8% for this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Knights finished 36 for 64 from the floor which had them at 56.3%. Concerning shooting from beyond the arc, UCF buried 14 of their 24 attempts (58.3%). They were able to make 11 of those for a rate of 78.6%. BYU earned 14 fouls in the game which took the Knights to the free throw line for 14 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 15 times, while getting 5 steals in this matchup. The Knights recorded 31 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards totaling 39 in this contest.

Jordan Burks pitched in for the Knights for this game. He earned 24 points in his 31 mins of playing time, but wasn't able to tally an assist. He converted 9 out of 12 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 75.0%, and had 6 rebounds.

UCF has a record of 20-7 for the year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Knights are shooting 47.7% from the field, which is ranked 47th in the nation. UCF has accounted for 2,214 points for the campaign (82.0 per game) and they pull down 36.9 boards per contest. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 16.3 times per contest (51st in college) and they are giving up possession 11.5 times per contest. The Knights commit 17.1 fouls per game while shooting 75.1% from the charity stripe.

The Knights defensively are ranked 283rd in D-1 in PPG given up with 77.4. They are able to force 11.4 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 45.8% from the field (275th in D-1). The UCF defense allows 33.4% on 3-point shots (216 of 646) and their opponents are connecting on 73.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 14.3 dimes and 32.1 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 258th and 52nd in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baylor

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