Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets Prediction, 1/24/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets

Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026

Location: Savage Arena in Toledo, OH

TV: ESPN+

Savage Arena is where the Toledo Rockets (10-9) will try to beat the Bowling Green Falcons (13-6) on Saturday.

The Bowling Green Falcons faced off with Western Michigan and notched a win by a score of 72-54 in their last contest. In reference to personal fouls, the Falcons ended up walking away with 13 and Western Michigan finished the game with 21 personal fouls. They knocked down 6 of their 26 attempts from long range. Western Michigan shot 76.9% when shooting free throws by knocking down 10 of their 13 shots. Furthermore, Western Michigan pulled down 36 rebounds (9 offensive, 27 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Western Michigan totaled 8 assists and had 3 steals in the matchup. When it comes to defending, Bowling Green allowed 33.9% from the floor on 19 out of 56 shooting. They also doled out 15 assists in the matchup while forcing 14 turnovers and earning 10 steals. When talking about rebounding, they earned a total of 35 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Falcons made 19 of their 27 tries for a rate of 70.4%. Bowling Green wrapped up the game having earned a 42.9% field goal percentage (24 out of 56) and made 5 of their 20 shots from downtown.

Sam Towns is someone who came through in the matchup. He ended up going 54.5% from the floor and also dished out 3 assists. He played for 37 mins and also pulled down 9 rebounds. He finished with 21 points on 6 out of 11 shooting.

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Bowling Green heads into this contest with a mark of 13-6 on the season. They turn it over 11.5 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 18.0 fouls every game. As a unit, Bowling Green is snagging 36.0 boards per contest and has tallied 301 dimes for the season, which has them ranked 112th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The Falcons are shooting 34.8% on shots from beyond the arc (140 of 402) and 74.3% from the free throw line. They have an average of 87.0 pts per contest (22nd in D-1) while hitting 49.3% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Falcons are forcing 17.6 turnovers per contest and they draw 20.4 personal fouls. They are giving up 33.3% on shots from distance while they are 97th in college in PPG allowed (70.3). The Falcons defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 43.0% (449 of 1,044) and they relinquish 32.5 boards per game as a unit. They are ranked 138th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 249 relinquished so far this season.

When they last played, the Toledo Rockets took a defeat with a final score of 84-82 when they played UMass. In the matter of how they cleaned up the glass, Toledo allowed UMass to get 33 in total (13 on the offensive side). They went 40.9% from beyond the arc by shooting 9 out of 22 and finished the contest at 15 of 22 from the charity stripe (68.2%). The Rockets permitted UMass to make 30 of 61 attempts from the field which had them shooting 49.2% in this matchup. When the final whistle was blown, the Rockets finished 28 out of 51 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 54.9%. When it comes to three-point attempts, Toledo buried 6 of 14 tries (42.9%). They were able to make 20 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 80.0%. UMass was called for 18 fouls in this game which got the Rockets to the charity stripe for a total of 25 shots. They also turned it over 15 times, while earning 9 steals for this game. The Rockets pulled down 20 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 26 for the game.

Leroy Blyden Jr. was important for the Rockets in the game. He made 7 out of 10 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 70.0%, and accumulated 5 rebounds. He accumulated 22 points in his 36 minutes on the hardwood and had 4 assists for this game.

Toledo has a win-loss record of 10-9 this year. The Rockets are committing 15.2 fouls per game and they go 77.6% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 16.2 times per game (83rd in college) and they lose possession via turnover 10.9 times per game. Toledo has 1,572 pts so far this year (82.7 per contest) and they average 34.8 boards per contest. When it comes to executing on offense, the Rockets are shooting 47.9% from the floor, which ranks them 54th in Division 1.

The Rockets on the defensive side of the court are 303rd in D-1 in PPG allowed with 78.6. They are forcing 13.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 47.9% from the field (339th in D-1). The Toledo defense gives up 35.1% on shots from distance (165 of 470) and opponents are converting on 68.3% of their free throw shots. They concede 15.9 dimes and 34.8 total rebounds per game, which has them ranked 320th and 202nd in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Bowling Green

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