Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets Prediction, 3/12/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets

Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026

Location: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH

TV: ESPN+

The Toledo Rockets (17-14) will take on the Bowling Green Falcons (18-13) at Rocket Arena on Thursday in the MAC Tournament.

The Bowling Green Falcons took the court against Eastern Michigan and went home with a win by a final score of 77-69 in their last contest. Bowling Green finished having earned a 39.4% field goal percentage (26 of 66) and made 7 out of their 19 shots from beyond the perimeter. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Falcons converted 18 of their 26 attempts for a percentage of 69.2%. When it comes to rebounding, they compiled a total of 37 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 10 assists for the contest while forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In the matter of the defense, Bowling Green allowed their opponent to shoot 44.1% from the field on 26 of 59 shooting. Eastern Michigan doled out 8 dimes and had 5 steals for the contest. In addition, Eastern Michigan totaled 31 rebounds (5 offensive, 26 defensive), but didn't have a block. Eastern Michigan finished the game at 73.7% at the free throw line by knocking down 14 of their 19 attempts. They converted 3 out of their 16 shots from distance. When talking about personal fouls, the Falcons ended up with 15 while Eastern Michigan finished the game with 21 personal fouls.

Javontae Campbell is someone who was a major contributor in this game. He finished the contest at 42.1% from the field and totaled 7 assists. He played 37 mins and snagged 3 rebounds. He ended up with 22 points on 8 out of 19 shooting.

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Bowling Green comes into this matchup with a win-loss mark of 18-13 so far this season. They turn the ball over 11.5 times per game and as a unit are committing 17.9 fouls per contest. As a team, Bowling Green is pulling in 36.2 boards per game and has accounted for 439 assists for the season, which ranks 186th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. The Falcons are shooting 34.6% from downtown (222 of 641) and 73.4% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 81.5 pts per contest (60th in college) while hitting 47.4% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Falcons are forcing 14.8 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.1 personal fouls. They currently rank 121st in college in allowing assists with 401 relinquished so far this year. The Falcons are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 43.3% (754 of 1,741) and they relinquish 33.4 rebounds per contest as a group. They give up 33.7% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 112th in the country in points per game allowed (71.4).

The last time they took the court, the Toledo Rockets got the victory with a final of 99-78 when they faced Buffalo. In regard to rebounding, Toledo allowed Buffalo to pull down 29 in all (10 offensive). They wrapped up this game 40.0% from distance by shooting 10 of 25 and walked away from this one shooting 6 of 9 from the charity stripe (66.7%). The Rockets permitted Buffalo to convert 31 out of 58 attempts from the field which had them at 53.4% for the contest. In all, the Rockets finished the game shooting 38 for 63 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 60.3%. When it comes to shooting from distance, Toledo converted 12 out of their 24 attempts (50.0%). They were able to make 11 of those for a rate of 73.3%. Buffalo was called for 10 fouls in the game which got the Rockets to the charity stripe for 15 attempts. They gave up possession 6 times, while recording 9 steals in this contest. The Rockets were able to collect 18 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards totaling 27 for this game.

Sonny Wilson was important for the Rockets for the matchup. He converted 10 out of 14 in this game for a rate of 71.4%, and accounted for 4 rebounds. He accumulated 24 points in his 36 minutes on the court and tallied 4 assists in the game.

Toledo has a record of 17-14 for the season. When it comes to executing on offense, the Rockets are connecting on 48.6% from the floor, which ranks them 33rd in the nation. Toledo has scored 2,525 pts on the year (81.5 per contest) and they collect 34.1 boards per game. They are getting an assist 16.1 times per game (59th in college hoops) and they are giving up possession 10.1 times per game. The Rockets are responsible for committing 14.9 fouls per game while shooting 76.8% from the free throw line.

The Toledo defense gives up 34.7% on 3-point shots (263 of 759) and opponents are connecting on 69.7% of their foul shots. They have allowed 14.9 assists and 34.9 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 284th and 220th in those categories. The Rockets on defense are ranked 258th in college in points per game surrendered with 76.8. They are forcing 12.7 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 46.9% from the floor (320th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Bowling Green

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