Buffalo Bulls vs Toledo Rockets Prediction, 3/6/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Buffalo Bulls vs Toledo Rockets

Date: Friday, March 6, 2026

Location: Savage Arena in Toledo, OH

TV: ESPN+

The Buffalo Bulls (17-13) are en route to Savage Arena on Friday where they will meet the Toledo Rockets (16-14).

The Buffalo Bulls stepped onto the hardwood against Eastern Michigan and went home with a win by a final score of 72-67 in their last game. In reference to personal fouls, the Bulls ended up finishing with 15 and Eastern Michigan finished the game with 20 personal fouls. They also made 2 of 12 shots from 3-point range. Eastern Michigan walked away from this one shooting 81.3% when shooting free throws by making 13 of 16 attempts. Moreover, Eastern Michigan collected 32 rebounds (6 offensive, 26 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Eastern Michigan earned 11 assists and had 3 steals in the matchup. Regarding the defense, Buffalo allowed the other team to go 46.4% from the field on 26 out of 56 shooting. They also dished out 12 assists for the matchup in addition to creating 11 turnovers and earning 4 steals. With regard to getting rebounds, they compiled 29 with 4 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the Bulls buried 17 of 22 tries for a rate of 77.3%. Buffalo wrapped up the game with a 45.1% field goal percentage (23 out of 51) and made 9 of their 24 shots from distance.

Ryan Sabol is one player who came through for the contest. He finished shooting 56.3% from the field and also totaled 1 assist. He saw the court for 38 minutes played and totaled 2 rebounds. He ended up with 27 points on 9 out of 16 shooting.

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Buffalo will play this game with a record of 17-13 so far this season. They are giving up possession 10.8 times per game and as a squad are committing 16.3 personal fouls per contest. As a unit, Buffalo is pulling down 31.7 boards per contest and has racked up 441 assists for the year, which ranks 137th in the nation in terms of passing the rock. The Bulls are connecting on 38.2% on shots from downtown (288 of 753) and 74.2% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 78.3 points per contest (122nd in the country) while hitting 47.1% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Bulls are forcing their opponents into 12.3 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.7 personal fouls. They are surrendering 34.5% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 233rd in college hoops in opponents PPG (75.5). The Bulls are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 47.1% (809 of 1,717) and they surrender 33.4 boards per contest as a group. They currently rank 320th in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 475 conceded on the campaign.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Toledo Rockets walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 74-72 against Miami. Concerning team rebounding, Toledo permitted Miami to get 26 overall (5 offensive). They finished 37.5% from three-point range via 12 out of 32 and ended up shooting 8 of 14 from the free throw line (57.1%). The Rockets allowed Miami to knock down 27 out of their 54 tries from the field which had them shooting 50.0% for this game. In all, the Rockets finished 32 out of 67 from the field which had them shooting 47.8%. In terms of shots from beyond the arc, Toledo buried 6 of their 21 tries (28.6%). They were able to convert 2 of those for a percentage of 100.0%. Miami committed 9 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Rockets to the free throw line for a total of 2 attempts. They also turned it over 10 times, while getting 13 steals in this matchup. The Rockets earned 23 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 30 in this matchup.

Leroy Blyden Jr. ended up being a factor for the Rockets in the game. He made 9 of 18 in this matchup for a rate of 50.0%, and accumulated 2 rebounds. He accumulated 21 points in his 36 minutes of playing time and had 2 assists for this contest.

Toledo has a record of 16-14 on the season. The Rockets commit 15.0 fouls per contest and they go 76.9% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 15.7 times per contest (78th in the nation) and they turn the ball over 10.2 times per contest. Toledo has earned 2,426 pts for the season (80.9 per game) and they snag 34.3 boards per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Rockets are connecting on 48.2% from the field, which is ranked 38th in the nation.

The Rockets defensively are ranked 258th in the country in points per game surrendered with 76.8. They are able to force 12.8 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 46.7% from the floor (314th in college hoops). The Toledo defense gives up 34.5% on shots from behind the 3-point line (253 of 734) and their opponents are converting on 69.7% of their foul shots. They surrender 15.0 assists and 35.1 total boards per game, which ranks them 294th and 232nd in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toledo

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