California Golden Bears vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, 1/28/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: California Golden Bears vs Florida State Seminoles

Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Location: Tucker Center in Tallahassee, FL

TV: ACC Network

The California Golden Bears (15-5) are on their way to Tucker Center on Wednesday where they will take on the Florida State Seminoles (8-12).

The California Golden Bears played Stanford and earned the victory with a final of 78-66 in their last game. When discussing personal fouls, the Golden Bears ended up with 22 while Stanford racked up 18 personal fouls. They also knocked down 6 out of their 31 attempts from 3-point land. Stanford finished shooting 77.4% from the free throw line by making 24 of 31 attempts. Moreover, Stanford collected 40 boards (14 offensive, 26 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Stanford dished out 9 dimes and had 7 steals in this game. With respect to defense, California allowed 27.3% from the field on 18 of 66 shooting. They also doled out 7 assists for the contest while forcing the opposition into 6 turnovers and earning 3 steals. In reference to pulling down boards, they earned a total of 39 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Golden Bears made 20 of 25 tries for a rate of 80.0%. California walked away from the contest having earned a 41.4% FG percentage (24 out of 58) and converted 10 out of their 25 3-pointers.

John Camden is one guy who was important in the game. He accounted for 25 points on 8 out of 13 shooting. He played 35 minutes and also grabbed 10 boards. He went 61.5% from the field but had no assists when the time ran out.

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California enters this game with a record of 15-5 on the year. They average 78.8 points per game (134th in D-1) while hitting 45.0% from the floor. The Golden Bears are connecting on 36.5% on three-point shots (179 of 490) and 79.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, California is snagging 34.8 boards per game and has totaled 286 assists so far this season, which is 199th in college hoops in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession by turning the ball over 9.9 times per contest and as a squad they commit 18.5 fouls per game.

Defensively, the Golden Bears are able to force 12.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.6 fouls. They are currently ranked 219th in college hoops in giving up assists with 281 conceded for the season. The Golden Bears are allowing a field goal percentage of 41.3% (490 of 1,186) and they surrender 36.5 rebounds per contest as a team. They are relinquishing 30.1% on shots from downtown and they are 95th in college hoops in opponents points per game (70.3).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Florida State Seminoles walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 83-80 when they faced SMU. When discussing how they cleaned up the glass, Florida State permitted SMU to collect 36 in all (12 on the offensive side). They finished 33.3% from distance by going 10 of 30 and walked away from this one shooting 17 of 23 from the free throw line (73.9%). The Seminoles allowed SMU to convert 28 of their 63 attempts from the field which left them shooting 44.4% for the matchup. When the game finished, the Seminoles ended up shooting 30 out of 71 from the field which gave them a percentage of 42.3%. Concerning shooting from 3-point land, Florida State buried 10 of their 32 tries (31.3%). They were able to bury 10 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 66.7%. SMU had 15 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Seminoles to the free throw line for a total of 15 tries. They also coughed up the ball 8 times, while getting 6 steals for this contest. The Seminoles pulled down 23 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive rebounds for a total of 38 for the game.

Robert McCray V ended up having an impact for the Seminoles in this game. He made 10 out of 21 for this game for a rate of 47.6%, and tallied 1 rebound. He totaled 21 points in his 32 minutes on the hardwood and totaled 9 assists for the contest.

Florida State has a record of 8-12 on the year. The Seminoles have committed 19.4 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 71.6% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 14.9 times per contest (135th in the country) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.5 times per game. Florida State has totaled 1,626 points so far this season (81.3 per contest) and they grab 37.0 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Seminoles are hitting on 42.3% from the floor, which is 316th in the country.

The Florida State defense gives up 33.7% on shots from distance (177 of 525) and opponents are knocking down 73.2% of their free throw shots. They relinquish 16.1 dimes and 38.7 rebounds per game, which is ranked 330th and 347th in those defensive categories. The Seminoles on the defensive side of the court are 330th in college in PPG surrendered with 80.5. They are forcing their opponents into 15.0 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.6% from the field (274th in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Florida State

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