California Golden Bears vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, 3/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: California Golden Bears vs Florida State Seminoles

Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Location: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC

TV: ESPNU

The Florida State Seminoles (17-14) will go up against the California Golden Bears (21-10) at Spectrum Center on Wednesday in the ACC Tournament.

The California Golden Bears faced Wake Forest and went home with a loss by a final score of 80-73 in their last contest. When talking about fouls, the Golden Bears left the arena with 26 while Wake Forest totaled 26 fouls. They converted 7 of their 23 tries from 3-point land. Wake Forest finished the contest at 77.1% when shooting free throws by making 27 of 35 tries. In addition, Wake Forest snagged 40 boards (10 offensive, 30 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Wake Forest recorded 14 assists and had 4 steals in this game. In terms of defending, California allowed their opponent to shoot 41.1% from the floor on 23 of 56 shooting. They also distributed 7 assists in the matchup as well as creating 10 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In the matter of hauling in boards, they collected 29 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Golden Bears knocked down 23 of 28 tries for a rate of 82.1%. California finished the contest with a 35.6% field goal percentage (21 of 59) and made 8 of 29 shots from beyond the arc.

Dai Dai Ames is one guy who was a factor for the game. He ended up going 50.0% from the field and also dished out 2 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 33 minutes and totaled 2 rebounds. He accumulated 31 points on 9 out of 18 shooting.

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California comes into this contest with a record of 21-10 on the campaign. They have an average of 77.5 pts per contest (144th in college) while hitting 44.1% from the floor. The Golden Bears are hitting 35.9% on shots beyond the perimeter (276 of 769) and 78.3% from the free throw line. As a team, California is pulling down 34.6 rebounds per contest and has accumulated 427 assists this season, which has them ranked 206th in D-1 in terms of passing. They turn it over 10.3 times per contest and as a unit they commit 18.9 fouls per contest.

When they are on defense, the Golden Bears are able to force 11.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.4 personal fouls. They give up 30.7% from 3-point land and they are 143rd in the country in points per game allowed (72.5). The Golden Bears defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 42.9% (784 of 1,829) and they concede 37.0 boards per game as a team. They are ranked 233rd in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 439 relinquished on the season.

In their last game, the Florida State Seminoles went home victorious with a score of 91-78 when they faced SMU. Concerning how they cleaned up the glass, Florida State allowed SMU to get 32 overall (14 on the offensive glass). They wrapped up this game 38.7% from three-point range by shooting 12 of 31 and finished the game at 10 out of 17 at the charity stripe (58.8%). The Seminoles allowed SMU to bury 28 of their 66 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 42.4% in this game. In all, the Seminoles ended up going 30 out of 58 from the floor which had them shooting 51.7%. Concerning 3-point attempts, Florida State knocked down 16 of 34 tries (47.1%). They were able to convert 15 of the free throws for a percentage of 62.5%. SMU was called for 22 fouls in the matchup which took the Seminoles to the free throw line for a total of 24 attempts. They also turned it over 11 times, while earning 10 steals in the matchup. The Seminoles were able to corral 21 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards for a total of 26 in this contest.

Chauncey Wiggins ended up being a factor for the Seminoles for the game. He converted 10 of 14 in this matchup giving him a rate of 71.4%, and added 9 rebounds. He earned 31 points in his 35 minutes on the court and totaled 2 dimes in this matchup.

Florida State has a mark of 17-14 this year. When it comes to offensive execution, the Seminoles are connecting on 43.3% from the field, which is 295th in D-1. Florida State has accounted for 2,478 points for the campaign (79.9 per game) and they pull in 36.0 boards per contest. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 14.3 times per contest (149th in D-1) and they turn it over 11.1 times per contest. The Seminoles commit 18.2 fouls per contest and they connect on 71.7% from the free throw line.

The Florida State defense allows 34.6% on shots from 3-point land (292 of 843) and opponents are knocking down 71.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 15.2 assists and 38.0 boards per contest, which ranks them 300th and 342nd in college hoops. The Seminoles defensively are ranked 282nd in college hoops in PPG surrendered with 77.5. They have forced 13.6 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 44.3% from the field (189th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Florida State

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