Chattanooga Mocs vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers Prediction, 2/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chattanooga Mocs vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Location: Freedom Hall in Johnson City, TN

TV: CBSSN

The Chattanooga Mocs (10-15) are traveling to Freedom Hall on Wednesday where they will compete against the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (18-7).

The Chattanooga Mocs faced off with The Citadel and took a loss by a final of 78-71 in their last game. Chattanooga walked away from the contest with a 44.4% field goal percentage (28 of 63) and converted 9 of 29 shots from 3-point land. At the free throw line, the Mocs made 6 of their 8 shots for a rate of 75.0%. When discussing grabbing boards, they compiled 28 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 17 assists for the matchup while forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and earning 5 steals. Regarding defense, Chattanooga let their opponent shoot 50.0% from the floor on 29 out of 58 shooting. The Citadel distributed 14 assists and had 10 steals in this game. Moreover, The Citadel pulled down 27 rebounds (4 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. The Citadel finished the game shooting 84.6% from the free throw line by burying 11 of 13 tries. They also converted 9 out of their 29 shots from distance. When discussing personal fouls, the Mocs walked away with 12 and The Citadel accounted for 13 personal fouls.

Jordan Frison is someone who came through for the contest. He finished the contest at 58.8% from the floor and also recorded 3 assists. He played for 29 minutes played and collected 3 rebounds. He notched 24 points on 10 out of 17 shooting.

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Chattanooga comes into this matchup with a record of 10-15 on the year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 9.9 times per game and as a group they are committing 18.9 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Chattanooga is snagging 32.9 rebounds per game and is sitting with 380 assists so far this season, which is 82nd in the country in terms of passing. The Mocs are shooting 35.3% on three-point attempts (264 of 747) and 75.9% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 75.2 points per outing (211th in college hoops) while going 44.6% from the field.

On defense, the Mocs are able to force 10.2 turnovers every game and they draw 16.2 fouls. They concede 31.8% on three-point shots while they are 178th in college hoops in points per game allowed (73.6). The Mocs defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 42.5% (614 of 1,444) and they surrender 35.9 boards per game as a unit. They are 196th in Division 1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 330 conceded so far this year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the East Tennessee State Buccaneers got the win with a final of 87-70 when they faced VMI. The Buccaneers corralled 27 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 37 for the matchup. They also gave up possession 17 times, while recording 7 steals in the game. VMI earned 11 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Buccaneers to the free throw line for 14 tries. They were able to knock down 12 of them for a percentage of 85.7%. With respect to three-point attempts, East Tennessee State converted 11 of their 26 attempts (42.3%). When the final whistle blew, the Buccaneers walked away from this one shooting 32 for 57 from the field which gave them a rate of 56.1%. The Buccaneers allowed VMI to bury 24 of their 57 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 42.1% in the matchup. They wrapped up this game 34.4% from distance by shooting 11 out of 32 and ended up going 11 out of 16 from the free throw line (68.8%). In regard to team rebounding, East Tennessee State permitted VMI to pull down 21 in all (6 on the offensive side).

Blake Barkley was important for the Buccaneers in this game. He had 22 points in his 31 mins on the court and had 2 dimes in this game. He buried 7 of 9 for this game giving him a field goal percentage of 77.8%, and had 12 rebounds.

East Tennessee State has a record of 18-7 this year. When it comes to offensive execution, the Buccaneers are hitting on 49.1% from the field, which has them ranked 26th in the nation. East Tennessee State has accounted for 1,970 pts on the year (78.8 per contest) and they grab 34.4 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 14.9 times per game (128th in the nation) and they are turning it over 10.2 times per contest. The Buccaneers are responsible for committing 16.1 fouls per game and they hit 76.6% from the charity stripe.

The East Tennessee State defense surrenders 32.4% on shots from distance (217 of 669) and their opposition knocks down 71.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 13.0 dimes and 31.6 total boards per game, which is 147th and 42nd in D-1. The Buccaneers on defense are ranked 44th in college hoops in PPG allowed with 67.8. They are able to force 13.7 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 41.9% from the floor (72nd in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chattanooga

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