Cincinnati Bearcats vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, 3/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Bearcats vs TCU Horned Frogs

Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026

Location: Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, TX

TV: TNT

The TCU Horned Frogs (20-10) host the Cincinnati Bearcats (17-13) at Schollmaier Arena on Saturday.

The Cincinnati Bearcats faced BYU and earned the victory with a final of 90-68 in their last contest. When it comes to personal fouls, the Bearcats ended up finishing with 17 while BYU accumulated 17 personal fouls. They also made 7 out of their 24 tries from downtown. BYU ended up going 68.4% from the charity stripe by knocking down 13 of 19 attempts. On top of that, BYU pulled down 28 rebounds (7 offensive, 21 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. BYU doled out 8 dimes and had 2 steals for the matchup. In regard to the defense, Cincinnati let their opponent shoot 41.4% from the field on 24 out of 58 shooting. They also distributed 24 assists for the game while forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and having 10 steals. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 33 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Bearcats made 16 of their 22 tries for a percentage of 72.7%. Cincinnati finished the contest having earned a 50.0% FG percentage (32 of 64) and made 10 of their 23 three-point attempts.

Jalen Celestine is one player who came through for this game. He finished with 18 points on 7 out of 9 shooting. He saw the court for 33 minutes played and also snagged 3 rebounds. He ended up shooting 77.8% from the field and recorded 1 assist.

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Cincinnati heads into this game with a mark of 17-13 on the campaign. They turn it over 11.5 times per game and as a squad they are committing 15.9 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Cincinnati is collecting 36.9 boards per contest and has accounted for 500 assists on the campaign, which is 49th in the nation in terms of passing the rock. The Bearcats are hitting 33.2% on three-point attempts (263 of 792) and 68.1% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 73.7 points per outing (241st in the country) while shooting 43.3% from the field.

On defense, the Bearcats are forcing 13.1 turnovers per contest while drawing 16.3 personal fouls. They currently rank 135th in the nation in giving up assists to their opponents with 390 surrendered this season. The Bearcats are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 41.5% (717 of 1,727) and they surrender 34.7 rebounds per contest as a team. They are conceding 31.9% from 3-point land while they are 36th in the country in points per game allowed (67.5).

The last time they took the hardwood, the TCU Horned Frogs took home the win by a final score of 73-65 against Texas Tech. In the matter of rebounding, TCU permitted Texas Tech to pull down 23 in total (7 on the offensive glass). They finished 34.4% from behind the 3-point line by going 11 out of 32 and finished the contest at 6 out of 8 from the charity stripe (75.0%). The Horned Frogs allowed Texas Tech to convert 24 of 53 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.3% for the contest. When the game finished, the Horned Frogs shot 28 out of 60 from the field which gave them a rate of 46.7%. When talking about 3-point attempts, TCU converted 7 of 20 tries (35.0%). They were able to make 10 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 66.7%. Texas Tech earned 15 fouls for the matchup which took the Horned Frogs to the charity stripe for a total of 15 attempts. They turned the ball over 12 times, while getting 10 steals for the contest. The Horned Frogs snagged 22 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive boards for a total of 37 for this game.

Xavier Edmonds was important for the Horned Frogs in the matchup. He buried 6 of 10 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 60.0%, and had 12 rebounds. He totaled 20 points in his 30 minutes on the hardwood and had 1 assist in this game.

TCU has a win-loss mark of 20-10 on the campaign. The Horned Frogs are responsible for committing 16.3 personal fouls per game and they connect on 70.6% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 15.6 times per game (84th in Division 1) and they lose possession via turnover 11.1 times per game. TCU has accumulated 2,343 pts on the year (78.1 per game) and they average 36.2 boards per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Horned Frogs are hitting on 44.8% from the floor, which is 209th in college hoops.

The Horned Frogs on defense are ranked 118th in D-1 in points given up per game with 71.6. They are forcing their opponents into 14.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 44.6% from the floor (210th in the country). The TCU defense allows 34.0% on 3-pointers (226 of 665) and their opponents are connecting on 70.6% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 16.1 assists and 33.1 rebounds on a nightly basis, ranking them 340th and 94th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati

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