Cincinnati Bearcats vs UCF Knights Prediction, 3/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Bearcats vs UCF Knights

Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, MO

TV: ESPNU

The UCF Knights (20-10) will play the Cincinnati Bearcats (17-14) at T-Mobile Center on Wednesday in the Big 12 Tournament.

The Cincinnati Bearcats faced TCU and took a loss by a final of 73-63 in their last contest. Cincinnati finished the game having earned a 44.2% FG percentage (23 of 52) and converted 13 of their 31 3-point shots. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Bearcats made 4 of 6 shots for a rate of 66.7%. Pertaining to rebounding, they earned 32 with 9 of them being offensive. They also doled out 19 assists for this contest as well as forcing the other team into 6 turnovers and having 3 steals. When discussing defending, Cincinnati allowed 44.1% from the floor on 26 out of 59 shooting. TCU recorded 21 dimes and had 8 steals in the matchup. Furthermore, TCU snagged 24 rebounds (6 offensive, 18 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. TCU walked away from this one shooting 71.4% from the charity stripe by converting 15 of 21 attempts. They also knocked down 6 out of their 22 tries from 3-point range. In the matter of personal fouls, the Bearcats finished with 18 while TCU totaled 10 personal fouls.

Day Day Thomas is a guy who was a major factor for the matchup. He scored 19 points on 7 out of 14 shooting. He was on the court for 37 mins played and totaled 4 rebounds. He finished the contest at 50.0% from the field and also totaled 1 assist.

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Cincinnati steps onto the court with a win-loss mark of 17-14 so far this season. They are losing possession via turnover 11.7 times per game and as a team are committing 15.9 fouls per game. As a team, Cincinnati is pulling down 36.9 rebounds per contest and has 519 dimes this year, which ranks 52nd in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. The Bearcats are connecting on 33.5% on shots from beyond the arc (276 of 823) and 68.1% from the free throw line. They have an average of 73.4 pts per game (248th in Division 1) while hitting 43.3% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Bearcats are forcing their opponents into 12.9 turnovers every game and they draw 16.1 fouls. They are giving up 31.7% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 37th in college in opponents points per game (67.7). The Bearcats defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 41.6% (743 of 1,786) and they concede 34.5 boards per game as a group. They are ranked 162nd in D-1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 411 relinquished for the season.

When they last stepped on the court, the UCF Knights went home defeated by a final of 77-62 against West Virginia. The Knights snagged 24 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive rebounds totaling 37 for this contest. They turned it over 10 times, while getting 6 steals for this game. West Virginia earned 18 fouls for the contest which took the Knights to the charity stripe for 18 tries. They were able to knock down 11 of those for a percentage of 61.1%. When discussing 3-point shots, UCF converted 3 of 16 tries (18.8%). Overall, the Knights shot 24 out of 63 from the field which gave them a rate of 38.1%. The Knights permitted West Virginia to convert 24 out of their 53 tries from the field which had them at 45.3% for this game. They finished the game shooting 29.6% from downtown by shooting 8 of 27 and finished the contest at 21 out of 25 at the free throw line (84.0%). Regarding how they rebounded, UCF allowed West Virginia to snag 31 in total (5 on the offensive glass).

Riley Kugel ended up being important for the Knights for this contest. He made 6 of 13 in the matchup for a rate of 46.2%, and earned 4 rebounds. He racked up 16 points in his 28 mins of playing time, but didn't record an assist.

UCF has a win-loss mark of 20-10 for the season. The Knights commit 17.3 personal fouls every game and they go 74.8% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 16.1 times per game (58th in D-1) and they are turning it over 11.2 times per game. UCF has accounted for 2,466 pts for the season (82.2 per game) and they grab 36.8 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Knights are shooting 47.4% from the floor, which ranks them 59th in the nation.

The UCF defense gives up 33.7% on shots from distance (242 of 719) and opponents are making 75.0% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 14.2 dimes and 32.7 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 254th and 80th in the nation. The Knights defensively are ranked 310th in college in points allowed per game with 78.8. They are able to force 11.1 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.9% from the field (273rd in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take UCF

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