Colorado Buffaloes vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 2/4/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado Buffaloes vs Baylor Bears

Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Location: Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX

TV: Peacock

The Baylor Bears (12-9) will try to beat the Colorado Buffaloes (13-9) at Foster Pavilion on Wednesday.

The Colorado Buffaloes stepped onto the hardwood against TCU and earned the victory with a final of 87-61 in their last contest. Colorado walked away from the game with a 55.6% field goal percentage (35 of 63) and knocked down 11 out of their 23 3-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Buffaloes knocked down 6 of 13 attempts for a rate of 46.2%. With respect to hauling in rebounds, they compiled a total of 20 with 4 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 24 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and having 5 steals. When it comes to defense, Colorado allowed the other team to go 33.3% from the field on 21 out of 63 shooting. TCU doled out 8 assists and had 2 steals in this contest. In addition, TCU totaled 36 boards (8 offensive, 28 defensive), but didn't notch a block. TCU went 82.4% from the charity stripe by burying 14 of their 17 tries. They made 5 of 23 tries from three-point range. When talking about personal fouls, the Buffaloes left the arena with 16 while TCU totaled 18 personal fouls.

Sebastian Rancik is someone who was a major contributor for the contest. He left the arena with 17 points on 6 of 8 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 25 mins and pulled down 6 boards. He went 75.0% from the field and dished out 3 assists.

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Colorado will play this game with a mark of 13-9 for the year. They are losing possession via turnover 9.8 times per contest and as a group they are committing 17.4 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Colorado is pulling in 34.9 rebounds per game and has accounted for 354 assists so far this season, which has them ranked 76th in the country in terms of passing. The Buffaloes are shooting 36.3% on shots from downtown (161 of 444) and 76.3% from the free throw line. They average 82.1 points per outing (71st in college) while shooting 48.0% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Buffaloes have forced 10.9 turnovers per game and they draw 19.4 fouls. They are giving up 36.8% from 3-point land and they are ranked 296th in Division 1 in PPG allowed (78.1). The Buffaloes defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 45.9% (608 of 1,324) and they concede 34.0 rebounds per game as a squad. They rank 168th in college hoops in giving up assists to the opposition with 295 relinquished for the campaign.

For their last game, the Baylor Bears walked away with a victory by a final of 63-53 when they played West Virginia. The Bears recorded 23 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards for a total of 30 in this contest. They also turned the ball over 13 times, while earning 6 steals for the matchup. West Virginia was called for 12 personal fouls for this game which got the Bears to the free throw line for a total of 5 shots. They were able to bury 4 of them for a percentage of 80.0%. Pertaining to shooting from beyond the arc, Baylor converted 9 out of 22 attempts (40.9%). When the final whistle blew, the Bears walked away from this one shooting 25 for 55 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.5%. The Bears permitted West Virginia to convert 18 of their 50 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 36.0% for the matchup. They finished 26.3% from 3-point land via 5 of 19 and finished the game at 12 out of 18 at the charity stripe (66.7%). When it comes to how they cleaned up the glass, Baylor permitted West Virginia to collect 28 in total (9 on the offensive glass).

Cameron Carr ended up being a factor for the Bears for this game. He racked up 16 points in his 36 minutes on the court and accumulated 3 assists for the contest. He made 6 out of 11 for this game giving him a field goal percentage of 54.5%, and accumulated 12 rebounds.

Baylor has a mark of 12-9 this year. When it comes to offense, the Bears are hitting on 48.1% from the floor, which ranks 47th in the country. Baylor has accumulated 1,764 points this year (84.0 per contest) and they average 39.3 boards per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 16.2 times per contest (66th in the nation) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 12.0 times per game. The Bears are committing 16.0 fouls per contest while shooting 71.7% from the charity stripe.

The Baylor defense gives up 34.3% on 3-pointers (160 of 466) and opponents are knocking down 74.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 13.1 dimes and 33.0 boards per game, which is ranked 162nd and 92nd in those categories. The Bears on the defensive side of the court are 227th in college in PPG given up with 75.4. They are forcing their opponents into 11.3 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 43.2% from the field (152nd in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baylor

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