Dayton Flyers vs Saint Louis Billikens Prediction, 1/30/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs Saint Louis Billikens

Date: Friday, January 30, 2026

Location: Chaifetz Arena in St. Louis, MO

TV: ESPN+

Chaifetz Arena is where the Saint Louis Billikens (20-1) will take on the Dayton Flyers (14-7) on Friday.

The Dayton Flyers took the court against Rhode Island and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 81-76 in their last contest. Dayton ended the contest having earned a 51.2% field goal percentage (22 out of 43) and knocked down 7 of their 17 shots from beyond the arc. At the free throw line, the Flyers converted 25 of 33 shots for a rate of 75.8%. In terms of rebounding, they collected 26 with 6 of them being offensive. They also distributed 16 dimes in the matchup in addition to forcing 10 turnovers and getting 6 steals. When discussing defense, Dayton let their opponent shoot 43.4% from the field on 23 out of 53 shooting. Rhode Island recorded 12 dimes and had 14 steals in the game. Additionally, Rhode Island grabbed 25 boards (6 offensive, 19 defensive), but didn't have a block. Rhode Island ended up shooting 77.8% at the charity stripe by burying 28 of 36 tries. They made 7 of their 16 attempts from beyond the arc. Regarding personal fouls, the Flyers ended up with 22 and Rhode Island recorded 25 personal fouls.

Bryce Heard is one guy who played a role in this matchup. He finished shooting 33.3% from the floor but had no assists when the game ended. He saw the court for 33 mins and pulled down 4 rebounds. He left the arena with 15 points on 3 out of 9 shooting.

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Dayton will play this game with a mark of 14-7 on the campaign. They average 76.7 pts per game (180th in the nation) on 45.1% from the floor. The Flyers are shooting 32.6% on 3-point shots (158 of 485) and 75.1% from the charity stripe. As a team, Dayton is snagging 33.0 rebounds per game and has totaled 302 dimes on the campaign, which has them ranked 172nd in college hoops in terms of passing. They turn it over 11.9 times per contest and as a squad are committing 16.5 fouls per contest.

On defense, the Flyers are forcing 16.3 turnovers per game while drawing 21.0 fouls. They surrender 35.2% on 3-point shots and they rank 70th in D-1 in points per game allowed (69.3). The Flyers are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 42.7% (503 of 1,177) and they surrender 35.2 boards per game as a group. They are 113th in Division 1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 262 relinquished for the season.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Saint Louis Billikens got the victory with a final of 79-76 against George Washington. When discussing team rebounding, Saint Louis permitted George Washington to grab 42 in total (12 on the offensive glass). They finished 26.7% from 3-point land by going 8 of 30 and ended up going 14 out of 21 at the free throw line (66.7%). The Billikens allowed George Washington to knock down 27 out of their 65 tries from the field which left them with a rate of 41.5% in the game. In all, the Billikens shot 28 for 63 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.4%. In reference to 3-point shots, Saint Louis knocked down 12 of 31 tries (38.7%). They were able to make 11 of them for a rate of 50.0%. George Washington committed 21 personal fouls in this game which took the Billikens to the free throw line for a total of 22 tries. They also coughed up the ball 14 times, while getting 7 steals in the matchup. The Billikens were able to collect 27 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards for a total of 36 in this game.

Trey Green ended up having an impact for the Billikens in this game. He accumulated 23 points in his 31 minutes on the hardwood and added 1 assist for the contest. He converted 8 of 15 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 53.3%, and earned 3 rebounds.

Saint Louis has a win-loss record of 20-1 for the season. The Billikens commit 18.7 fouls per game and they go 74.1% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 19.3 times per contest (7th in the nation) and they are giving up possession 12.2 times per contest. Saint Louis has scored 1,908 points for the campaign (90.9 per contest) and they pull in 43.0 boards per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Billikens are hitting on 51.7% from the floor, which is ranked 5th in Division 1.

The Saint Louis defense allows 26.6% on three-point shots (137 of 516) and their opponents are making 72.3% of their foul shots. They allow 10.5 assists and 32.3 rebounds per game, which is 10th and 68th in those defensive categories. The Billikens defensively are ranked 39th in college in points allowed per game with 67.3. They are forcing their opponents into 11.9 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 35.8% from the floor (1st in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Saint Louis

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