Dayton Flyers vs Saint Louis Billikens Prediction, 3/14/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs Saint Louis Billikens

Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Saint Louis (-6)

The Dayton Flyers (21-10) are hitting the road to PPG Paints Arena on Saturday where they will meet the Saint Louis Billikens (27-4) in the Atlantic 10 Semifinals. Saint Louis opens this matchup as 6-point favorites. The total has been set at 149.

The Dayton Flyers faced VCU and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 68-62 in their last game. In reference to fouls, the Flyers ended up with 13 while VCU recorded 15 fouls. They knocked down 8 out of their 21 shots from downtown. VCU ended up going 76.9% when shooting free throws by knocking down 10 of their 13 shots. Additionally, VCU collected 28 rebounds (4 offensive, 24 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. VCU recorded 12 dimes and had 5 steals in this contest. When discussing defending, Dayton allowed 49.0% from the floor on 25 out of 51 shooting. They also distributed 11 assists for this game as well as forcing the other team into 7 turnovers and having 4 steals. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 31 with 9 of them being of the offensive sort. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Flyers converted 8 of their 15 attempts for a percentage of 53.3%. Dayton walked away from the contest with a 45.5% FG percentage (25 out of 55) and made 4 out of their 22 shots from 3-point land.

Javon Bennett is a guy who came through in this matchup. He went 54.5% from the floor and also totaled 2 dimes. He was on the court for 37 minutes played and also snagged 1 rebound. He was able to score 17 points on 6 out of 11 shooting.

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Dayton will enter this game with a record of 21-10 this season. They are averaging 75.1 points per contest (199th in Division 1) on 45.3% from the field. The Flyers are shooting 33.9% on three-point shots (233 of 687) and 75.1% from the free throw line. As a unit, Dayton is pulling in 32.5 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 445 assists so far this year, which is 183rd in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. They are losing possession via turnover 12.1 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 16.6 fouls per game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Flyers are forcing their opponents into 14.9 turnovers every game and they draw 20.3 fouls. They are giving up 35.4% on 3-point shots while they are 74th in D-1 in opponents PPG (70.1). The Flyers are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.6% (749 of 1,716) and they surrender 34.0 rebounds per contest as a team. They are 63rd in Division 1 in giving up assists with 383 surrendered on the campaign.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Saint Louis Billikens took a defeat with a final score of 86-57 when they faced George Mason. In relation to rebounding, Saint Louis allowed George Mason to pull down 39 in total (12 on the offensive side). They went 36.8% from distance by hitting 7 out of 19 and finished the game at 11 out of 13 from the free throw line (84.6%). The Billikens allowed George Mason to bury 34 out of 59 tries from the field which had them sitting at 57.6% for this game. Overall, the Billikens finished shooting 23 out of 58 from the field which gave them a rate of 39.7%. When discussing shooting from distance, Saint Louis made 4 of their 24 tries (16.7%). They were able to bury 7 of the free throws for a percentage of 58.3%. George Mason had 14 fouls for the contest which got the Billikens to the charity stripe for a total of 12 tries. They turned the ball over 11 times, while earning 7 steals for the matchup. The Billikens were able to snag 14 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 24 for the game.

Dion Brown pitched in for the Billikens for the game. He earned 13 points in his 20 mins of playing time and had 1 assist for the contest. He converted 6 out of 9 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 66.7%, and had 2 rebounds.

Saint Louis has a win-loss mark of 27-4 for the season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Billikens are shooting 51.3% from the field, which ranks them 5th in college hoops. Saint Louis has earned 2,722 points so far this season (87.8 per contest) and they average 40.2 boards per game. They are earning an assist 18.4 times per game (9th in D-1) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 12.3 times per game. The Billikens are responsible for committing 18.2 fouls every game and they hit 73.3% from the charity stripe.

The Billikens are ranked 59th in Division 1 in points given up per game with 69.1. They are forcing 11.9 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 37.9% from the field (1st in D-1). The Saint Louis defense allows 29.1% from downtown (223 of 766) and opponents are knocking down 73.1% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 11.6 dimes and 32.1 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 49th and 57th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Saint Louis (-6)

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