Dayton Flyers vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks Prediction, 3/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026

Location: Trask Coliseum in Wilmington, NC

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Dayton (-2)

The Dayton Flyers (23-11) are hitting the road to Trask Coliseum on Saturday where they will compete against the UNC Wilmington Seahawks (26-6) in the 2nd round of the NIT. UNC Wilmington opens this game as 2-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total is set at 139.

The Dayton Flyers faced Bradley and notched a win by a score of 80-66 in their last contest. Regarding personal fouls, the Flyers ended up with 16 while Bradley recorded 18 personal fouls. They also converted 10 of 22 attempts from long range. Bradley shot 71.4% at the charity stripe by knocking down 10 of 14 attempts. Furthermore, Bradley had 29 rebounds (7 offensive, 22 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Bradley recorded 13 assists and had but wrapped up the game with no steals. When talking about defense, Dayton let their opponent shoot 45.1% from the field on 23 out of 51 shooting. They also recorded 12 assists in this game as well as forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and having 5 steals. Concerning rebounding, they earned 24 with 3 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Flyers buried 21 of their 25 attempts for a rate of 84.0%. Dayton walked away from the game with a 52.1% FG percentage (25 of 48) and buried 9 of their 18 3-point attempts.

Javon Bennett is one player who was a factor in the game. He walked away from this one shooting 61.5% from the field and also earned 2 assists. He played for 35 minutes but didn't pull down any boards. He accumulated 25 points on 8 of 13 shooting.

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Dayton enters this contest with a mark of 23-11 this year. They lose possession via turnover 12.0 times per contest and as a team they commit 16.7 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Dayton is pulling in 32.9 rebounds per contest and has earned 487 assists this season, which is 115th in college in terms of passing the rock. The Flyers are connecting on 34.1% from downtown (258 of 756) and 75.1% from the free throw line. They are averaging 74.4 pts per game (223rd in the nation) while hitting 44.6% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Flyers are able to force 14.6 turnovers every game and they draw 20.4 fouls. They give up 35.6% on three-point shots and they are 71st in D-1 in PPG allowed (69.9). The Flyers defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 43.6% (815 of 1,870) and they concede 33.9 rebounds per contest as a team. They are ranked 139th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 416 conceded this season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the UNC Wilmington Seahawks walked away with a victory by a final of 68-67 against Yale. In relation to how they cleaned up the glass, UNC Wilmington permitted Yale to collect 48 in all (20 offensive). They finished 29.6% from three-point range via 8 out of 27 and finished the contest at 9 of 22 at the charity stripe (40.9%). The Seahawks allowed Yale to bury 25 out of their 67 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 37.3% for the contest. When all was said and done, the Seahawks walked away from this one shooting 25 out of 69 from the floor which gave them a rate of 36.2%. When discussing shots from distance, UNC Wilmington buried 10 of 26 attempts (38.5%). They were able to make 8 of those for a rate of 57.1%. Yale committed 15 personal fouls in this game which took the Seahawks to the free throw line for a total of 14 shots. They turned the ball over 8 times, while earning 4 steals in this game. The Seahawks snagged 29 defensive boards and 18 offensive rebounds totaling 47 for this game.

Christian May pitched in for the Seahawks in this contest. He made 5 of 14 for the game giving him a field goal percentage of 35.7%, and had 8 rebounds. He tallied 16 points in his 33 minutes on the court and tallied 2 assists for this contest.

UNC Wilmington has a win-loss mark of 26-6 on the season. As an offensive team, the Seahawks are connecting on 44.6% from the floor, which is ranked 217th in the country. UNC Wilmington has accumulated 2,465 points so far this year (77.0 per game) and they pull in 40.0 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 13.5 times per game (204th in the country) and they are turning it over 10.0 times per contest. The Seahawks have committed 17.2 personal fouls every game while shooting 68.7% from the charity stripe.

The UNC Wilmington defense surrenders 29.6% on shots from behind the 3-point line (232 of 784) and their opponents are converting on 74.8% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 10.9 dimes and 32.9 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 21st and 83rd in D-1. The Seahawks defensively are ranked 38th in college in points allowed per game with 67.7. They are forcing their opponents into 10.3 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.6% from the field (25th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Dayton (-2)

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