Dayton Flyers vs VCU Rams Prediction, 3/15/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs VCU Rams

Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Dayton (+4)

The VCU Rams (25-7) are welcoming the Dayton Flyers (22-10) at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday in the Atlantic 10 Tournament Final. Dayton opens this game as 4-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 141.5.

The Dayton Flyers played St. Bonaventure and earned the victory with a final of 68-63 in their last contest. In relation to fouls, the Flyers ended up with 18 while St. Bonaventure racked up 22 fouls. They buried 3 of their 10 shots from distance. St. Bonaventure walked away from this one shooting 64.3% from the charity stripe by burying 18 of 28 attempts. Moreover, St. Bonaventure grabbed 25 rebounds (5 offensive, 20 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. St. Bonaventure earned 6 dimes and had 8 steals in this game. In the matter of defense, Dayton allowed the other team to go 45.7% from the field on 21 of 46 shooting. They also recorded 13 assists for this contest while forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and having 7 steals. With regard to getting rebounds, they compiled 34 with 10 of them being of the offensive variety. At the charity stripe, the Flyers made 22 of their 28 attempts for a percentage of 78.6%. Dayton finished the contest with a 34.6% FG percentage (18 out of 52) and buried 10 of their 24 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Javon Bennett is a player who came through in this contest. He ended up going 66.7% from the floor and dished out 3 assists. He was on the court for 38 mins and totaled 3 boards. He scored 27 points on 8 of 12 shooting.

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Dayton enters this game with a win-loss mark of 22-10 for the season. They are turning it over 12.1 times per game and as a team are committing 16.6 fouls per contest. As a unit, Dayton is pulling down 32.7 rebounds per game and has 458 assists so far this year, which is 158th in the country in terms of passing. The Flyers are connecting on 34.2% on shots beyond the perimeter (243 of 711) and 75.2% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 74.9 points per outing (207th in college hoops) while hitting 45.0% from the floor.

On defense, the Flyers are forcing 14.8 turnovers per game and they draw 20.4 personal fouls. They are giving up 35.3% on 3-point shots while they are 71st in D-1 in points per game allowed (69.9). The Flyers defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.7% (770 of 1,762) and they surrender 33.8 rebounds per game as a group. They are 74th in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 389 conceded for the year.

When they last stepped on the court, the VCU Rams got the win with a final of 71-66 when they played Duquesne. When discussing cleaning the glass, VCU allowed Duquesne to pull down 29 in total (7 on the offensive glass). They finished 32.0% from beyond the arc by going 8 out of 25 and walked away from this one shooting 10 of 12 from the charity stripe (83.3%). The Rams permitted Duquesne to convert 24 of 55 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.6% for this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Rams finished shooting 23 for 49 from the floor which had them shooting 46.9%. In the matter of shots from downtown, VCU made 7 out of 16 tries (43.8%). They were able to make 18 of the free throws for a percentage of 72.0%. Duquesne earned 21 personal fouls in this game which got the Rams to the charity stripe for a total of 25 attempts. They also coughed up the ball 11 times, while earning 6 steals in the game. The Rams corralled 20 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 26 in the game.

Terrence Hill Jr. ended up being a factor for the Rams for this game. He converted 7 of 14 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and accounted for 1 rebound. He scored 20 points in his 30 minutes of playing time and had 6 dimes in this game.

VCU has a record of 25-7 on the campaign. The Rams are committing 17.5 personal fouls per contest and they go 74.0% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 14.1 times per contest (162nd in college hoops) and they are losing possession via turnover 10.8 times per game. VCU has accumulated 2,626 points for the year (82.1 per game) and they pull in 36.7 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Rams are shooting 46.2% from the field, which is ranked 117th in Division 1.

The VCU defense surrenders 33.0% from downtown (213 of 646) and opponents are converting on 71.9% of their free throw shots. They concede 12.5 dimes and 34.0 boards per game, which ranks them 104th and 151st in those categories. The Rams are ranked 125th in college in points given up per game with 72.0. They are able to force 12.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.3% from the floor (124th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Dayton (+4)

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