Duke Blue Devils vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction, 2/24/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Duke Blue Devils vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Date: Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Location: Purcell Pavilion in South Bend, IN

TV: ESPN+

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-15) host the Duke Blue Devils (25-2) at Purcell Pavilion on Tuesday.

The Duke Blue Devils stepped onto the hardwood against Michigan and walked away with a win by a score of 68-63 in their last contest. Concerning fouls, the Blue Devils ended up with 17 while Michigan racked up 16 fouls. They buried 6 out of their 25 tries from beyond the arc. Michigan finished the game shooting 72.2% from the free throw line by converting 13 of 18 tries. Furthermore, Michigan collected 25 rebounds (7 offensive, 18 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Michigan doled out 15 dimes and had 7 steals for the matchup. In regard to defense, Duke let their opponent shoot 40.0% from the field on 22 of 55 shooting. They also doled out 17 assists in this game while forcing 7 turnovers and getting 4 steals. When it comes to pulling down rebounds, they collected a total of 37 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the Blue Devils made 12 of their 17 shots for a percentage of 70.6%. Duke ended the contest with a 45.5% FG percentage (25 of 55) and made 6 of their 19 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Cameron Boozer is one player who was a contributor for the contest. He accounted for 18 points on 6 of 10 shooting. He played 34 mins played and grabbed 10 rebounds. He finished the game shooting 60.0% from the field and recorded 7 dimes.

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Duke heads into this matchup with a mark of 25-2 this year. They lose possession via turnover 10.8 times per game and as a team they are committing 15.6 fouls per contest. As a team, Duke is grabbing 39.6 boards per game and is sitting with 459 assists for the season, which is 51st in the nation in terms of passing. The Blue Devils are connecting on 34.8% on 3-point shots (237 of 681) and 71.4% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 82.4 points per contest (53rd in D-1) while shooting 50.0% from the field.

On defense, the Blue Devils are forcing their opponents into 12.7 turnovers per game and they draw 18.1 fouls. They rank 55th in Division 1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 322 surrendered on the campaign. The Blue Devils defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 39.2% (618 of 1,575) and they surrender 29.7 boards per game as a group. They give up 30.7% on 3-pointers and they are 3rd in Division 1 in points per game allowed (63.1).

When they last stepped on the court, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 73-68 when they faced Pittsburgh. In reference to rebounding, Notre Dame allowed Pittsburgh to get 33 overall (8 on the offensive side). They finished 45.8% from three-point range by connecting on 11 of 24 and finished the contest at 18 of 27 at the free throw line (66.7%). The Fighting Irish allowed Pittsburgh to make 22 of 49 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.9% for the contest. When this game wrapped up, the Fighting Irish finished shooting 26 out of 65 from the floor which had them shooting 40.0%. With respect to shots from downtown, Notre Dame made 9 out of 38 tries (23.7%). They were able to convert 7 of the free throw tries for a rate of 50.0%. Pittsburgh committed 14 personal fouls for this contest which took the Fighting Irish to the charity stripe for a total of 14 shots. They also turned it over 7 times, while getting 7 steals for this contest. The Fighting Irish were able to pull down 21 defensive rebounds and 14 offensive boards for a total of 35 for the contest.

Cole Certa ended up being a factor for the Fighting Irish for the contest. He buried 6 of 18 in the game for a field goal rate of 33.3%, and accumulated 2 rebounds. He earned 16 points in his 38 minutes of playing time and had 1 assist in the matchup.

Notre Dame has a mark of 12-15 this season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Fighting Irish are connecting on 44.9% from the field, which is ranked 204th in the country. Notre Dame has tallied 2,009 pts for the campaign (74.4 per contest) and they pull in 37.0 rebounds per contest. They are earning an assist 12.4 times per game (298th in college hoops) and they cough up possession 11.4 times per contest. The Fighting Irish have committed 17.4 fouls per contest and they go 68.7% from the free throw line.

The Fighting Irish defensively are ranked 168th in college in points per game surrendered with 73.4. They have forced 9.7 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 43.5% from the field (145th in college). The Notre Dame defense gives up 33.1% on 3-point shots (241 of 728) and opponents are connecting on 74.3% of their foul shots. They relinquish 14.0 assists and 32.9 total rebounds per game, which ranks 233rd and 84th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Notre Dame

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