Duquesne Dukes vs Dayton Flyers Prediction, 2/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Duquesne Dukes vs Dayton Flyers

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH

TV: ESPN+

The Dayton Flyers (17-9) will try to beat the Duquesne Dukes (16-10) at UD Arena on Saturday.

The Duquesne Dukes played La Salle and went home with a win by a final score of 62-61 in their last game. Duquesne ended the contest with a 47.8% FG percentage (22 out of 46) and buried 3 out of their 20 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Dukes made 15 of their 22 shots for a percentage of 68.2%. In regard to rebounding, they earned 28 with 4 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 8 assists in the matchup while forcing the opposition into 18 turnovers and earning 9 steals. With regard to defending, Duquesne let their opponent shoot 40.0% from the floor on 22 of 55 shooting. La Salle recorded 10 assists and had 9 steals in the game. Additionally, La Salle pulled down 32 boards (13 offensive, 19 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. La Salle shot 57.9% at the free throw line by making 11 of 19 attempts. They also knocked down 6 of 20 tries from 3-point range. When talking about personal fouls, the Dukes ended up with 20 while La Salle finished the game with 17 personal fouls.

David Dixon is a guy who was a contributor for the contest. He ended up going 100.0% from the field and also earned 1 assist. He saw the court for 22 mins played and also snagged 10 boards. He racked up 13 points on 4 out of 4 shooting.

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Duquesne comes into this game with a mark of 16-10 on the season. They are losing possession via turnover 13.0 times per contest and as a team they are committing 20.0 fouls per game. As a unit, Duquesne is collecting 35.7 boards per game and has tallied 415 dimes this season, which has them ranked 84th in college hoops in terms of passing the ball. The Dukes are hitting 34.9% on shots from 3-point land (238 of 681) and 71.4% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 81.6 points per game (63rd in college) while connecting on 47.4% from the field.

Defensively, the Dukes are forcing 13.3 turnovers per game while drawing 18.0 fouls. They concede 33.8% from 3-point land and they are 235th in the nation in points per game allowed (75.8). The Dukes defense is allowing a FG percentage of 43.9% (671 of 1,527) and they concede 34.3 boards per contest as a group. They are currently ranked 208th in the nation in giving up assists with 362 relinquished on the year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Dayton Flyers walked away with a victory by a final of 82-67 when they played George Mason. When talking about rebounding, Dayton permitted George Mason to pull down 23 in all (4 offensive). They finished the game shooting 50.0% from 3-point land via 7 of 14 and finished the game at 18 of 22 at the free throw line (81.8%). The Flyers permitted George Mason to convert 21 of 48 attempts from the field which had them shooting 43.8% in this contest. When the game finished, the Flyers went 29 out of 52 from the floor which gave them a rate of 55.8%. With regard to shots from downtown, Dayton made 11 out of their 21 attempts (52.4%). They were able to make 13 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 61.9%. George Mason had 17 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Flyers to the free throw line for a total of 21 tries. They also gave up possession 7 times, while earning 7 steals for this game. The Flyers were able to snag 25 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive boards totaling 29 for the contest.

Javon Bennett ended up being a major contributor for the Flyers in this matchup. He totaled 22 points in his 32 minutes on the court and tallied 2 assists for this contest. He buried 7 of 11 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 63.6%, and totaled 2 rebounds.

Dayton has a mark of 17-9 for the year. The Flyers commit 16.6 fouls per contest while shooting 75.2% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 14.3 times per game (160th in college hoops) and they turn the ball over 12.1 times per contest. Dayton has accumulated 1,978 pts for the campaign (76.1 per contest) and they snag 32.9 boards per game. As an offensive team, the Flyers are hitting on 45.1% from the field, which is 191st in the nation.

The Flyers on the defensive side of the court are 112th in D-1 in points allowed per contest with 71.2. They are able to force 15.4 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 44.0% from the floor (179th in college hoops). The Dayton defense gives up 36.3% on shots from 3-point land (218 of 600) and opponents are knocking down 71.0% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 12.7 assists and 34.3 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks them 117th and 175th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Duquesne

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