Fairfield Stags vs Siena Saints Prediction, 1/19/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Fairfield Stags vs Siena Saints

Date: Monday, January 19, 2026

Location: MVP Arena in Albany, NY

TV: ESPN+

The Fairfield Stags (11-7) are traveling to MVP Arena on Monday where they will try to defeat the Siena Saints (11-7).

The Fairfield Stags faced Manhattan and went home with a win by a final score of 98-62 in their last game. Fairfield finished with a 57.1% field goal percentage (36 out of 63) and converted 12 of 24 three-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Stags converted 14 of their 22 attempts for a rate of 63.6%. When discussing rebounding, they earned a total of 38 with 10 of them being offensive. They also dished out 22 dimes for the matchup as well as forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and having 5 steals. When discussing defending, Fairfield allowed the other team to go 35.7% from the field on 20 out of 56 shooting. Manhattan doled out 8 assists and had 5 steals in the game. On top of that, Manhattan pulled down 23 boards (6 offensive, 17 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Manhattan went 79.2% from the charity stripe by knocking down 19 of 24 attempts. They also knocked down 3 of their 18 tries from 3-point land. Regarding personal fouls, the Stags left the arena with 19 while Manhattan accumulated 19 personal fouls.

Braden Sparks is a player who was a factor for this contest. He accounted for 23 points on 7 of 19 shooting. He saw the court for 36 mins and also grabbed 5 rebounds. He ended up shooting 36.8% from the field and recorded 3 assists.

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Fairfield heads into this one with a win-loss record of 11-7 on the campaign. They average 78.2 points per outing (155th in the country) while shooting 43.3% from the field. The Stags are shooting 35.0% on shots beyond the perimeter (152 of 434) and 73.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, Fairfield is pulling in 40.3 boards per contest and has earned 218 assists this year, which is 284th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. They cough up possession 9.6 times per game and as a team are committing 15.5 fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Stags are able to force 11.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 15.9 personal fouls. They currently rank 240th in college hoops in giving up assists with 246 conceded for the campaign. The Stags are giving up a field goal percentage of 44.1% (473 of 1,072) and they surrender 34.9 rebounds per game as a team. They are relinquishing 33.7% on shots from downtown while they are 167th in Division 1 in opponents points per game (72.9).

In their last game, the Siena Saints took a loss by a score of 86-80 against Sacred Heart. In reference to cleaning the glass, Siena allowed Sacred Heart to get 40 overall (13 on the offensive glass). They finished 42.9% from 3-point land by shooting 15 of 35 and ended up shooting 13 out of 13 from the free throw line (100.0%). The Saints allowed Sacred Heart to knock down 29 of 70 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 41.4% for the contest. Overall, the Saints ended up going 32 out of 71 from the field which gave them a percentage of 45.1%. Concerning 3-point shots, Siena made 7 of their 29 tries (24.1%). They were able to convert 9 of the free throw tries for a clip of 90.0%. Sacred Heart earned 13 fouls for this contest which got the Saints to the charity stripe for a total of 10 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 3 times, while recording 4 steals for the contest. The Saints collected 23 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards totaling 35 for the game.

Justice Shoats was important for the Saints for this game. He made 8 out of 11 in this game for a rate of 72.7%, and had 5 rebounds. He racked up 18 points in his 40 mins on the court and added 4 dimes in the matchup.

Siena has a record of 11-7 on the campaign. When it comes to executing on offense, the Saints are hitting on 44.4% from the floor, which is 240th in the nation. Siena has tallied 1,256 pts for the season (69.8 per contest) and they collect 35.0 rebounds per game. They are getting an assist 12.9 times per game (276th in Division 1) and they lose possession via turnover 10.1 times per game. The Saints commit 14.1 fouls every game and they shoot 72.6% from the charity stripe.

The Siena defense allows 31.4% on shots from distance (116 of 370) and their opponents are converting on 73.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They surrender 11.3 assists and 31.8 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 39th and 55th in the nation. The Saints defensively are ranked 20th in Division 1 in points per game surrendered with 65.4. They are forcing 12.3 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.5% from the floor (171st in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Fairfield

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