Florida Gators vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, 11/10/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Gators vs Florida State Seminoles

Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2026

Location: Tucker Center in Tallahassee, FL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Florida (-10.5)

Tucker Center is where the Florida State Seminoles (2-0) will compete against the Florida Gators (2-0) on Tuesday. Florida opens as 10.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 164.5.

The Florida Gators faced off with Jacksonville and notched a win by a score of 88-57 in their last contest. Florida walked away from the game having earned a 48.3% field goal percentage (29 of 60) and converted 11 of 25 three-point shots. From the free throw line, the Gators buried 19 of 27 tries for a rate of 70.4%. Concerning pulling down rebounds, they collected 47 with 16 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 18 assists for the matchup while creating 9 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In terms of the defense, Florida allowed their opponent to shoot 33.3% from the floor on 19 out of 57 shooting. Jacksonville earned 6 assists and had 11 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Jacksonville collected 19 rebounds (5 offensive, 14 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Jacksonville went 86.7% from the charity stripe by making 13 of 15 attempts. They also buried 6 of their 21 tries from beyond the arc. In regard to personal fouls, the Gators finished with 12 and Jacksonville recorded 20 personal fouls.

Rueben Chinyelu is someone who came through for the game. He notched 21 points on 7 of 9 shooting. He played for 22 minutes played and grabbed 8 boards. He finished the contest at 77.8% from the floor and distributed 1 assist.

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Florida will enter this matchup with a mark of 2-0 this season. They are turning it over 13.0 times per contest and as a group they are committing 16.0 personal fouls every game. As a team, Florida is pulling in 48.0 boards per contest and has totaled 35 assists on the campaign, which is 154th in the nation in terms of passing. The Gators are connecting on 43.1% on three-point shots (22 of 51) and 62.9% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 82.5 points per outing (163rd in college) while going 46.0% from the floor.

Defensively, the Gators are able to force 10.0 turnovers per game while drawing 23.0 personal fouls. They are 8th in the country in giving up assists with 12 surrendered on the campaign. The Gators defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 34.2% (40 of 117) and they relinquish 32.0 boards per contest as a squad. They give up 26.3% on 3-pointers and they are 76th in college hoops in PPG allowed (62.0).

The last time they took the court, the Florida State Seminoles went home victorious with a score of 91-68 when they played Troy. When talking about how they cleaned up the glass, Florida State permitted Troy to get 21 in all (5 on the offensive side). They shot 34.6% from downtown by connecting on 9 out of 26 and ended up going 13 out of 21 from the free throw line (61.9%). The Seminoles allowed Troy to bury 23 of their 55 tries from the field which had them shooting 41.8% in the game. When the final whistle blew, the Seminoles finished the game shooting 25 for 58 from the field which had them shooting 43.1%. When discussing shots from 3-point land, Florida State knocked down 7 out of 28 tries (25.0%). They were able to convert 34 of the free throws for a percentage of 87.2%. Troy committed 28 fouls for the game which took the Seminoles to the free throw line for a total of 39 attempts. They also coughed up the ball 12 times, while earning 5 steals for this game. The Seminoles earned 24 defensive boards and 15 offensive rebounds totaling 39 in this game.

Shon Abaev was important for the Seminoles for the contest. He buried 6 out of 14 for the contest for a field goal rate of 42.9%, and tallied 7 rebounds. He earned 20 points in his 31 minutes on the court and had 6 dimes for this game.

Florida State has a record of 2-0 for the season. When it comes to executing on offense, the Seminoles are shooting 49.6% from the floor, which ranks them 93rd in the country. Florida State has earned 204 pts this season (102.0 per contest) and they collect 46.5 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 17.5 times per game (105th in the country) and they cough up possession 9.5 times per contest. The Seminoles are responsible for committing 17.0 fouls every game and they connect on 83.6% from the free throw line.

The Florida State defense concedes 35.8% on shots from behind the 3-point line (19 of 53) and their opponents are converting on 66.7% of their free throw attempts. They have conceded 13.0 assists and 25.0 rebounds every game, ranking them 210th and 12th in those defensive categories. The Seminoles are ranked 148th in D-1 in points allowed per contest with 68.5. They have forced 14.0 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.2% from the field (155th in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Florida (-10.5)

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