Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, 1/3/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers

Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026

Location: Mizzou Arena in Columbia, MO

TV: SEC Network

Mizzou Arena is where the Missouri Tigers (10-3) will go up against the Florida Gators (9-4) on Saturday.

The Florida Gators played Dartmouth and went home with a win by a final score of 94-72 in their last game. Florida wrapped up the contest having earned a 48.5% FG percentage (33 of 68) and made 5 of 18 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Gators buried 23 of 38 shots for a percentage of 60.5%. In regard to rebounding, they collected 57 with 23 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 13 assists for the contest as well as forcing 9 turnovers and getting 6 steals. When it comes to defending, Florida allowed 40.3% from the field on 25 of 62 shooting. Dartmouth totaled 14 assists and had 8 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Dartmouth grabbed 20 rebounds (2 offensive, 18 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Dartmouth finished the game shooting 71.4% from the charity stripe by making 10 of 14 shots. They also knocked down 12 of their 27 tries from three-point range. With respect to personal fouls, the Gators left the arena with 14 and Dartmouth accumulated 25 personal fouls.

Alex Condon is one guy who was a major factor in this matchup. He accumulated 17 points on 4 of 9 shooting. He saw the court for 27 minutes played and also collected 9 rebounds. He finished the game shooting 44.4% from the field and also totaled 2 assists.

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Florida will play this game with a win-loss record of 9-4 on the campaign. They turn it over 13.5 times per game and as a squad are committing 17.5 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Florida is snagging 47.5 boards per game and has totaled 198 assists this year, which is 188th in college hoops in terms of passing the rock. The Gators are shooting 28.2% on shots from 3-point land (96 of 341) and 70.0% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 85.1 points per outing (59th in Division 1) while going 45.9% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Gators are forcing 11.4 turnovers per game and they draw 21.5 fouls. They are relinquishing 32.0% on 3-point attempts and they are 112th in college in opponents PPG (70.4). The Gators defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 40.3% (320 of 795) and they surrender 30.3 rebounds per contest as a squad. They currently rank 53rd in D-1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 150 surrendered on the season.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Missouri Tigers went home defeated by a final of 91-48 when they faced Illinois. In the matter of rebounding, Missouri allowed Illinois to snag 41 in all (14 on the offensive side). They went 45.5% from distance by shooting 15 of 33 and finished the game at 16 of 20 at the charity stripe (80.0%). The Tigers allowed Illinois to knock down 30 of 58 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 51.7% for the contest. When all was said and done, the Tigers finished 16 out of 56 from the field which gave them a percentage of 28.6%. In the matter of 3-pointers, Missouri knocked down 6 of their 22 attempts (27.3%). They were able to bury 10 of those for a rate of 66.7%. Illinois was called for 14 fouls for the contest which took the Tigers to the free throw line for 15 tries. They coughed it up 8 times, while earning 8 steals in this contest. The Tigers snagged 12 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 20 for the game.

Sebastian Mack ended up having an impact for the Tigers in the game. He scored 17 points in his 25 mins on the court, but went home with no dimes. He converted 6 out of 11 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 54.5%, and had 2 rebounds.

Missouri has a win-loss mark of 10-3 for the campaign. The Tigers are committing 17.8 personal fouls per game and they hit 67.9% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 15.1 times per contest (153rd in college) and they turn it over 13.0 times per game. Missouri has totaled 1,089 pts so far this season (83.8 per game) and they snag 37.2 boards per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Tigers are shooting 51.8% from the floor, which ranks 14th in college.

The Tigers on the defensive side of the court are 146th in D-1 in points allowed per game with 71.5. They are forcing 12.9 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 41.7% from the floor (95th in college hoops). The Missouri defense gives up 36.8% on 3-point shots (129 of 351) and their opposition makes 72.4% of their foul shots. They allow 12.7 dimes and 29.6 total rebounds per game, which is 135th and 15th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Florida

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