Florida Gators vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, 2/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Gators vs Ole Miss Rebels

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: The Sandy and John Black Pavilion in Oxford, MS

TV: ESPN+

The Sandy and John Black Pavilion is the site where the Ole Miss Rebels (11-15) will play the Florida Gators (20-6) on Saturday.

The Florida Gators faced off with South Carolina and walked away with a win by a score of 76-62 in their last contest. Concerning personal fouls, the Gators finished with 18 and South Carolina finished the game with 18 personal fouls. They also converted 4 out of their 19 shots from long range. South Carolina finished shooting 70.0% from the free throw line by knocking down 14 of their 20 shots. Furthermore, South Carolina collected 27 rebounds (11 offensive, 16 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. South Carolina distributed 8 assists and had 6 steals for the game. In relation to the defense, Florida let their opponent shoot 37.9% from the field on 22 out of 58 shooting. They also dished out 16 assists in this matchup as well as creating 11 turnovers and having 5 steals. With regard to rebounding, they collected a total of 45 with 18 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Gators knocked down 13 of their 18 shots for a rate of 72.2%. Florida walked away from the game having earned a 46.8% FG percentage (29 of 62) and knocked down 5 out of their 19 shots from beyond the arc.

Alex Condon is one guy who was a factor for this contest. He accumulated 20 points on 7 out of 14 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 32 mins played and also totaled 10 rebounds. He ended up shooting 50.0% from the field and dished out 4 dimes.

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Florida heads into this game with a win-loss mark of 20-6 on the year. They are averaging 86.1 points per outing (18th in the nation) while connecting on 46.9% from the floor. The Gators are shooting 29.4% on shots from distance (192 of 653) and 70.4% from the free throw line. As a team, Florida is pulling down 46.0 rebounds per game and has 422 assists so far this season, which is 73rd in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 11.8 times per game and as a group are committing 17.6 personal fouls per contest.

On defense, the Gators are forcing 11.3 turnovers per game while drawing 19.9 personal fouls. They rank 17th in college in allowing assists with 283 conceded on the campaign. The Gators defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 40.4% (643 of 1,591) and they concede 31.4 rebounds per game as a team. They are relinquishing 32.5% on shots from downtown while they are 104th in college in PPG allowed (71.1).

For their last game, the Ole Miss Rebels took a loss by a final score of 80-77 against Texas A&M. The Rebels snagged 19 defensive boards and 3 offensive boards for a total of 22 for this game. They also turned it over 8 times, while earning 8 steals for the game. Texas A&M committed 15 personal fouls in this game which got the Rebels to the charity stripe for a total of 15 tries. They were able to make 12 of the free throws for a clip of 80.0%. With respect to shots from beyond the arc, Ole Miss buried 7 out of 25 attempts (28.0%). When all was said and done, the Rebels went 29 for 55 from the field which gave them a percentage of 52.7%. The Rebels allowed Texas A&M to make 30 of 62 tries from the floor which had them shooting 48.4% for this game. They finished the game shooting 25.0% from downtown by shooting 5 of 20 and finished the game at 15 out of 20 from the free throw line (75.0%). Concerning how they cleaned up the glass, Ole Miss permitted Texas A&M to collect 34 in all (13 offensive).

AJ Storr ended up being a factor for the Rebels for this contest. He accumulated 21 points in his 36 mins of playing time and had 2 dimes in this matchup. He knocked down 6 of 13 for this game giving him a rate of 46.2%, and tallied 3 rebounds.

Ole Miss has a record of 11-15 on the year. The Rebels have committed 19.5 fouls per game and they connect on 73.9% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 13.6 times per game (214th in Division 1) and they are turning it over 9.6 times per game. Ole Miss has accounted for 1,928 points so far this year (74.2 per contest) and they average 34.4 boards per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Rebels are shooting 43.9% from the field, which ranks 265th in the country.

The Ole Miss defense allows 33.3% on three-point shots (212 of 636) and opponents are knocking down 70.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They have relinquished 14.2 assists and 36.7 boards per contest, ranking them 247th and 309th in college. The Rebels on the defensive side of the court are 192nd in the country in points allowed per contest with 73.9. They are forcing 11.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.2% from the floor (126th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Florida

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