Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 1/24/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida State Seminoles vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026

Location: Moody Coliseum in Dallas, TX

TV: ACC Network

Moody Coliseum is the site where the SMU Mustangs (14-5) will try to defeat the Florida State Seminoles (8-11) on Saturday.

The Florida State Seminoles played Miami and went home with a win by a final score of 65-63 in their last contest. Florida State wrapped up the game having earned a 45.3% field goal percentage (24 out of 53) and converted 6 out of their 17 shots from downtown. From the free throw line, the Seminoles knocked down 11 of 15 attempts for a percentage of 73.3%. Pertaining to grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 30 with 4 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 13 assists for the contest while forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and getting 12 steals. Concerning defending, Florida State allowed the other team to go 42.1% from the field on 24 out of 57 shooting. Miami recorded 15 assists and had 7 steals in this contest. Additionally, Miami collected 28 rebounds (5 offensive, 23 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Miami walked away from this one shooting 73.3% from the charity stripe by making 11 of their 15 attempts. They made 4 out of their 16 attempts from distance. In regard to fouls, the Seminoles finished with 15 and Miami totaled 13 fouls.

Robert McCray V is someone who was important for the contest. He finished the contest at 41.2% from the field and also totaled 4 dimes. He played for 31 mins and totaled 4 rebounds. He notched 20 points on 7 out of 17 shooting.

Get all of our NCAA Picks Today

Florida State steps onto the court with a record of 8-11 on the year. They have an average of 81.4 points per outing (86th in the nation) while going 42.3% from the field. The Seminoles are shooting 31.6% on shots from downtown (202 of 639) and 71.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Florida State is snagging 36.6 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 282 assists for the year, which is 174th in the nation in terms of passing. They are losing possession via turnover 12.7 times per game and as a group they commit 19.4 personal fouls every game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Seminoles have forced 15.4 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.2 personal fouls. They relinquish 33.7% on three-point shots and they are ranked 325th in college in PPG from their opponents (80.4). The Seminoles are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 45.7% (527 of 1,153) and they relinquish 38.7 rebounds per game as a unit. They rank 311th in the nation in giving up assists to their opponents with 304 surrendered on the year.

When they last stepped on the court, the SMU Mustangs went home victorious with a score of 91-79 when they faced Wake Forest. In regard to how they cleaned up the glass, SMU allowed Wake Forest to pull down 24 in total (6 offensive). They finished 33.3% from 3-point land via 10 out of 30 and ended up going 13 of 18 at the free throw line (72.2%). The Mustangs allowed Wake Forest to knock down 28 of 64 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.8% in this matchup. When this game wrapped up, the Mustangs walked away from this one shooting 32 out of 64 from the floor which had them shooting 50.0%. In regard to 3-pointers, SMU made 14 of their 28 tries (50.0%). They were able to convert 13 of those for a rate of 72.2%. Wake Forest earned 17 fouls for the game which took the Mustangs to the free throw line for a total of 18 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while earning 8 steals for the contest. The Mustangs earned 26 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 35 in the game.

B.J. Edwards ended up being a factor for the Mustangs for this game. He had 24 points in his 31 minutes on the court and tallied 7 assists for this contest. He made 8 of 13 for this game for a field goal percentage of 61.5%, and had 8 rebounds.

SMU has a mark of 14-5 for the season. In terms of offensive execution, the Mustangs are hitting on 49.7% from the floor, which has them ranked 24th in college. SMU has accumulated 1,662 points for the year (87.5 per contest) and they average 38.4 boards per game. They are earning an assist 17.8 times per game (25th in the nation) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 11.8 times per contest. The Mustangs are committing 17.3 fouls per contest while shooting 77.0% from the free throw line.

The SMU defense gives up 32.1% on three-point shots (170 of 529) and opponents are connecting on 71.9% of their free throw shots. They surrender 16.2 dimes and 34.1 total rebounds per game, which has them ranked 333rd and 165th in college hoops. The Mustangs on the defensive end are ranked 265th in the nation in PPG given up with 76.8. They have forced 13.5 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.8% from the floor (137th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Florida State

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.