Fresno State Bulldogs vs Colorado State Rams Prediction, 3/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Fresno State Bulldogs vs Colorado State Rams

Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Location: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN+

The Fresno State Bulldogs (13-18) are headed to Thomas & Mack Center on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the Colorado State Rams (20-11) in the Mountain West Tournament.

The Fresno State Bulldogs faced off with Grand Canyon and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 85-60 in their last contest. When it comes to personal fouls, the Bulldogs ended up finishing with 15 and Grand Canyon finished the game with 16 personal fouls. They also made 11 of their 29 tries from beyond the arc. Grand Canyon ended up going 90.9% from the free throw line by making 10 of their 11 tries. On top of that, Grand Canyon grabbed 39 rebounds (9 offensive, 30 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Grand Canyon distributed 23 assists and had 13 steals for this contest. When it comes to defense, Fresno State allowed 49.2% from the floor on 32 out of 65 shooting. They also recorded 7 dimes in this game in addition to forcing 10 turnovers and earning 3 steals. In relation to rebounding, they collected 29 with 7 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Bulldogs made 11 of 15 shots for a rate of 73.3%. Fresno State wrapped up the contest with a 36.7% FG percentage (22 out of 60) and converted 5 of their 23 shots from distance.

Wilson Jacques is one guy who was a factor for the game. He walked away with 15 points on 6 out of 15 shooting. He saw the court for 34 mins and pulled down 8 rebounds. He ended up shooting 40.0% from the floor but had no assists at the end of the game.

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Fresno State heads into this one with a win-loss record of 13-18 this season. They are turning it over 12.6 times per game and as a unit are committing 16.7 fouls every game. As a unit, Fresno State is grabbing 34.6 boards per game and has accounted for 397 assists so far this season, which has them ranked 277th in college hoops in terms of passing the rock. The Bulldogs are hitting 32.1% on shots from beyond the arc (231 of 720) and 74.2% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 73.2 pts per contest (255th in D-1) while shooting 44.5% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Bulldogs are forcing 12.8 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.3 personal fouls. They are giving up 30.1% on 3-point attempts while they are 153rd in the country in points per game allowed (73.0). The Bulldogs defense is giving up a FG percentage of 44.3% (817 of 1,843) and they relinquish 35.2 boards per game as a team. They are ranked 158th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 410 relinquished on the campaign.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Colorado State Rams walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 78-67 when they faced Boise State. When talking about how they attacked the glass, Colorado State allowed Boise State to pull down 36 overall (13 offensive). They shot 31.6% from beyond the perimeter by going 6 out of 19 and ended up shooting 20 out of 25 from the free throw line (80.0%). The Rams permitted Boise State to make 26 of 51 tries from the floor which had them shooting 51.0% for the matchup. When the game finished, the Rams finished shooting 26 out of 52 from the field which gave them a rate of 50.0%. With regard to shooting from distance, Colorado State made 6 of 20 attempts (30.0%). They were able to make 9 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 64.3%. Boise State was called for 16 fouls for the contest which took the Rams to the free throw line for a total of 14 attempts. They turned the ball over 7 times, while recording 7 steals for the game. The Rams earned 15 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 19 in the matchup.

Jase Butler pitched in for the Rams in this game. He had 15 points in his 37 mins of playing time and totaled 2 assists for the matchup. He buried 4 out of 8 for the contest for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and earned 5 rebounds.

Colorado State has a win-loss mark of 20-11 for the year. The Rams have committed 16.6 personal fouls per game and they connect on 77.0% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 16.0 times per contest (63rd in D-1) and they turn it over 11.8 times per game. Colorado State has scored 2,381 points this year (76.8 per contest) and they average 32.1 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Rams are shooting 49.8% from the field, which ranks them 17th in college.

The Colorado State defense allows 34.4% on 3-point attempts (259 of 753) and their opponents are knocking down 70.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 11.9 assists and 29.2 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks them 61st and 6th in those categories on the defensive end. The Rams on the defensive end are ranked 112th in the nation in PPG given up with 71.4. They are forcing 9.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 45.3% from the floor (251st in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Colorado State

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