Fresno State Bulldogs vs Grand Canyon Lopes Prediction, 3/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Fresno State Bulldogs vs Grand Canyon Lopes

Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026

Location: Global Credit Union Arena in Phoenix, AZ

TV: ESPN+

Global Credit Union Arena is the site where the Grand Canyon Lopes (19-11) will try to defeat the Fresno State Bulldogs (13-17) on Saturday.

The Fresno State Bulldogs faced off with San Jose State and notched a win by a score of 82-68 in their last game. Fresno State ended the contest having earned a 41.3% FG percentage (26 out of 63) and converted 11 of 24 three-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Bulldogs made 19 of 24 attempts for a percentage of 79.2%. With respect to hauling in rebounds, they earned 44 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 11 dimes for this contest as well as forcing the other team into 5 turnovers and having 2 steals. In regard to defense, Fresno State allowed 40.9% from the floor on 27 of 66 shooting. San Jose State earned 7 assists and had 4 steals for this game. Moreover, San Jose State totaled 40 rebounds (12 offensive, 28 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. San Jose State finished 47.4% at the free throw line by converting 9 of their 19 attempts. They converted 5 out of their 22 tries from downtown. In regard to personal fouls, the Bulldogs ended up finishing with 16 and San Jose State finished the game with 19 personal fouls.

Jake Heidbreder is one player who was a major factor for the matchup. He accounted for 20 points on 5 out of 15 shooting. He was on the court for 40 mins and snagged 3 rebounds. He finished 33.3% from the floor and earned 1 assist.

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Fresno State enters this game with a record of 13-17 on the campaign. They are giving up possession 12.6 times per contest and as a squad are committing 16.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Fresno State is collecting 34.8 boards per game and has accounted for 390 dimes so far this year, which ranks 259th in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Bulldogs are shooting 32.4% on three-point shots (226 of 697) and 74.2% from the charity stripe. They average 73.6 points per outing (246th in D-1) while hitting 44.7% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Bulldogs are forcing their opponents into 12.9 turnovers per game and they draw 18.4 personal fouls. They give up 29.8% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 145th in D-1 in points per game allowed (72.6). The Bulldogs defense is allowing a FG percentage of 44.2% (785 of 1,778) and they concede 35.0 rebounds per game as a team. They are currently ranked 131st in D-1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 387 relinquished for the campaign.

In their last game, the Grand Canyon Lopes went home victorious with a score of 86-60 when they played Air Force. The Lopes pulled down 28 defensive boards and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 in the matchup. They turned the ball over 9 times, while earning 4 steals for the game. Air Force was called for 20 personal fouls in this contest which got the Lopes to the charity stripe for a total of 21 shots. They were able to make 15 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 71.4%. In regard to three-point shots, Grand Canyon buried 9 out of 21 attempts (42.9%). In all, the Lopes finished the game shooting 31 for 55 from the floor which gave them a rate of 56.4%. The Lopes permitted Air Force to convert 19 of 45 tries from the field which left them shooting 42.2% for this game. They went 23.5% from distance by going 4 of 17 and ended up going 18 of 26 from the free throw line (69.2%). With respect to how they rebounded, Grand Canyon allowed Air Force to pull down 20 in all (0 on the offensive glass).

Jaden Henley ended up being a major contributor for the Lopes for this game. He converted 7 out of 11 for the game giving him a rate of 63.6%, and had 5 rebounds. He recorded 17 points in his 26 mins of playing time and accounted for 3 dimes for the matchup.

Grand Canyon has a mark of 19-11 for the year. When it comes to offense, the Lopes are shooting 45.3% from the floor, which has them ranked 185th in the country. Grand Canyon has accounted for 2,255 points on the year (75.2 per game) and they collect 36.4 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 12.6 times per contest (282nd in college) and they are turning it over 12.3 times per game. The Lopes are responsible for committing 18.3 personal fouls per game and they connect on 75.7% from the free throw line.

The Lopes on the defensive end are ranked 49th in D-1 in PPG given up with 68.4. They are forcing 12.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 41.3% from the floor (40th in Division 1). The Grand Canyon defense gives up 32.1% from downtown (208 of 647) and opponents are connecting on 72.7% of their free throw attempts. They have conceded 11.8 dimes and 31.4 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks them 57th and 33rd in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Grand Canyon

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